Tag Archives: Stanford University

Don’t let others dissuade you to create a prediction market startup.

MicroSoft’s Steve Ballmer: My parents thought I’d lost my mind to drop out of Stanford Business School to go to a company that makes software. My dad said “what the heck is software?” and my mother said “why the heck … Continue reading

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Google’s Marissa Mayer talks at Stanford.

AWESOME. I am watching the talks right now, and I am dowloading them thanks to Video Download Helper on FireFox. (I will later put them into MP4 thanks to MPEG StreamClip.)

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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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The Rise of Crowdsourcing: Creative Wisdom of the Crowd — Tuesday, May 20th, 2008 at 6:00pm — @ Bo Cowgill’s Alma Mater

The Rise of Crowdsourcing: Creative Wisdom of the Crowd – @ Stanford Business School, Stanford University, California, U.S.A. – 2008-05-20 –> Predictify & Cambrian House – Via Daniel Horowitz (Business and Technology Consultant) -

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Eric Zitzewitz, laughing all the way to the bank

Dartmouth College professor Eric W. Zitzewitz Eric Zitzewitz, previously at Stanford University, and now a Dartmouth professor, is the top trader at the ABC7 San Francisco prediction exchange. [Via Adam Siegel's blog.] $1,309,424 Mike “onemike” Giberson at Inkling Markets does … Continue reading

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Meet John Nafeh, the HedgeStreet brain.

HedgeStreet: Dr. John Nafeh – Director John Nafeh is the Founder of HedgeStreet. He combined his expertise in decision analysis and risk management, his experience guiding Internet-related start-ups, and his vision of an Internet-based mass market for risk-hedging financial instruments … Continue reading

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Academics to discuss prediction market experience

According to the preliminary schedule of the 2008 American Economic Association annual meetings, some leading prediction market scholars will be gathering to discuss empirical data from prediction markets. The meetings will be held in New Orleans in early January [2008]. … Continue reading

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Demand forecasting systems: Spending a lot on software doesn’t guarantee success.

Product line demand forecasting stands as the proto-typical application for internal prediction markets. Internal prediction markets may have other uses, but the demand forecasting story is probably the most straightforward and has been most often discussed in articles on the … Continue reading

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Mat Fogarty hangs his shingle nearby Stanford University.

XPree: Forecast error comes from 5 sources: 1. Overoptimism when developing a new product, especially regarding ship dates 2. Lowballing sales forecasts in an effort to reduce sales quotas 3. Padding of spending budgets to reduce cost pressure 4. Uncertainty … Continue reading

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Point Shaving in the NBA: An Economic Analysis of the NBA’s Point Spread Betting Market

My name is Jonathan Gibbs, and I was asked by Chris Masse to give a little insight into the paper I wrote for my economics honors thesis at Stanford University, which was recently referenced by Justin Wolfers in his NY … Continue reading

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