Tag Archives: prediction market journalism
The anonymity of “Wiser Than The Crowd” will expire soon.
The sometimes excellent prediction market blogger “Wiser Than The Crowd” says that he will disclose his real name, soon. (An upcoming Slate article will feature him, he says.) That is a great news, as it will bring more credibility to his prediction market journalism, and will allow him to be a full member of the [...]
Why BetFair and InTrade as media can’t be trusted
TechCrunch:
As a consumer, when’s the last time you read an advertorial and walked away inspired or informed?
Never.
And this is my version of the question:
As a consumer, when’s the last time you read a post by BetFair Predicts and walked away inspired or informed?
Never, as for moi. Do give your answer in the comments. Commercial companies [...]
Wiser Than James Surowiecki
In my previous post, I made an attempt at piercing the real identity of “Wiser Than The Crowd”… … Here is his reply:
Thanks for the link. Though I’m flattered that my writing is good enough to confuse someone into thinking that I work for the New Yorker, I really am a neuroscientist doing [...]
Making money on the spreading (or taming) of H1N1
For info, see our good friend “Caveat Bettor”, which is the pseudonym of a savvy New York-based financial expert —who made no mystery of his real identity to moi (I won’t tell).
See also “Wiser Than The Crowd”, which is probably the pseudonym of a very smart financial expert, financial entrepreneur and prolific book author —with [...]
Prediction Market Journalism
In short, PM traders can indirectly effect the market on which they make predictions. Journalists get both crowdsourced investigative research and a percentage of trading commissions.
The one thing I enjoy every Monday morning
As a prediction market aficionado, what lights me up are stories about… (of course)… how the prediction markets are assessing important news. The HubDub blog publishes, every Monday morning, a post that rounds up the 5 most prominent (that’s subjective) news stories of the week, with the prediction market charts, so we can spot which [...]
Prediction Market Journalism
Very smart (and funny) post on the HubDub blog about prediction market journalism —which should aim at demonstrating the real social utility of the prediction markets on news events. Some prediction markets are more useful than others, and, sometimes, some portion(s) in the life of one particular prediction market is/are more useful than other portions.
Let’s [...]
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