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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: prediction market journalism
Betting @ BetFair remains a mediocre-quality publication —triple alas.
I have spent some time this morning browsing it, and I am sad to report that the quality of this news website is still very low. – The navigation is crappy. For instance, clicking on the BetFair logo will bring … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Journalism, Prediction Journalism
Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, Betting @ BetFair, betting markets, event derivative markets, forecasting, forecasts, predicting, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Predictions, The Sporting Exchange
1 Comment
The value of prediction market journalism, which doesn’t produce any scoop, is zero.
Felix Salmon (in a piece about the ROI of web publishing): As real-money prediction markets become legal in the US, there’s surely going to be a lot of money in writing about them and driving rich readers to them. Total … Continue reading
PROVEN AND DOCUMENTED: Joe Weisenthal is drunken with his own manipulation paranoia.
Joe is going off the deep end. Market noises are now interpreted as the intergalactic battle between the pro-HCR and the anti-HCR, who are both seeking to manipulate the InTrade prediction markets. No evidence whatsoever is displayed. P.S: I am … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics
2 Comments
Health care reform is down to 47% at InTrade. –> Toss a coin, it will get you the same.
So much for the “insider trading” who signaled the certainty of the adoption of the new health care reform bill. Joe Weisenthal swallowed InTrade CEO’s marketing bait. More on Memeorandum. Previously: Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics
1 Comment
Joe Weisenthal is now in bed with InTrade.
Business Insider cites various InTrade probabilities. Joe should mention whether there is volume on each market. Joe should cite BetFair, not InTrade, for any UK-related event. Joe should be aware of InTrade’s long history of fucking up contracts and settlements … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts
Tagged BetFair, events, forecasts, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, journalists, Media, odds, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, Predictions, probabilities
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Prediction market blogger quits InTrade.
Ben Shannon: New Year Update Posted by Jesse Livermore on Sunday, January 3, 2010 I’ve been gone for a while. There just hasn’t been that much happening on Intrade, and I’ve been focusing on neuroscience. Intrade has definitely gotten tougher … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism
Tagged Ben Shannon, betting markets, blogging, event derivative markets, InTrade, Jesse Livermore, prediction market blogging, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Wiser Than The Crowd
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After losing $6,000 on Chicago, Ben Shannon gives up on prediction market blogging.
Ben Shannon: [] I’m not sure how much benefit I get from running this blog. I haven’t really made any money on Intrade since starting the blog this spring. In retrospect, at least part of my motivation for making the … Continue reading
The anonymity of “Wiser Than The Crowd” will expire soon.
The sometimes excellent prediction market blogger “Wiser Than The Crowd” says that he will disclose his real name, soon. (An upcoming Slate article will feature him, he says.) That is a great news, as it will bring more credibility to … Continue reading