Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: oil

Jim Rogers on commodities, the commodity bubble, gold, the gold bubble, crude oil, the crude oil bubble, China, the China bubble — etc.

Via Joe Weisenthal:

Gold, US dollar, and inflation

Old video:

Max Keiser says on Iranian TV that HubDub’s play-money prediction market on oil price has more predictive power than the oil derivative markets (oil futures markets).

Sounds like a stretch, at first glance, but listen to his argument, first, before you judge it.
Good plug of HubDub inside an economic analysis segment.
Video

A good résumé, in the field of prediction markets, should mention and link to “Midas Oracle”, of course. You, too, could be part of the gang. Join us today.

Last year, nobody would give the first fig about a “Michael Giberson”. He was insignificant. Now, with the orbital price of oil, Mike becomes hot, all of the sudden. I hope he’ll mind some energy prediction markets, one day, when he has time.
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How to join Midas Oracle and how to blog with us here…
How to [...]

FOREIGN OIL DEPENDANCY: Will the next US president adopt T. Boone Pickens’ 10-year energy plan?

Would make a great long-term prediction market.
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T. Boone Pickens’ Op-Ed – $$$
T. Boone Pickens – Video @ Market Watch

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Pickens Plan .com
T. Boone Pickens – Video

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Some energy prediction markets listed at PPX.
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The Case for Decrimininalization of Prediction Markets

[This article is cross-posted from Major Wager.]
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A recent article in the prestigious academic journal Science (May 16, 2008, Vol 320, p. 877-8) once again makes the case for regulated prediction markets, more commonly known as “betting exchanges” to online gamblers. The authors make the case that such markets are useful in forecasting future events with [...]

Did Jason Ruspini and friends cash in on huge moves in prices of oil, natural gas, coal and other parts of the energy patch, this semester?

Wall Street Journal $$$:

Great Links That Have Nothing To Do With Prediction Markets

1. A critical roundup of the blogging right-wing nuts. HILARIOUS.
2. Spot the giant machinery in picture #1. IMPRESSIVE.

Good news: The BetFair blog now features a prediction market column. — Bad news: Their columnist is an anonymous writer with long hair… and dubious skills.

How low can BetFair go with their so-called blog? They are descending so low that they may find out oil in the Hammersmith undergrounds.
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Good news: They have a new columnist who tries to apply the prediction market approach. He even uses my two favorites tags, “prediction markets” and “prediction exchanges“. Good —although, the last one [...]

Is the world running out of oil?

Max Keiser

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