Tag Archives: NewsFutures
A brand-new NewsFutures public prediction exchange in the fall
http://newsfutures.com/ is closed for re-construction. It will re-open in the fall. Dixit the mysterious Emile. (Thanks to the Chicago Man for the tip.)
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NewsFutures is using Red Hat Enterprise Linux.
NewsFutures is using Red Hat Enterprise Linux.
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NewsFutures OKays “collective forecasting”.
Actually, Emile Servan-Schreiber has been using this term (”collecting forecasting“) for years. (Spot it under “competitive forecasting”.)
Emile, you’re a true pionneer, here. Congrats.
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Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally
If you have been a feed subscriber of Midas Oracle for a long time (we started in 2006 here, and in 2003 for CFM), you know that I act as a gadfly. But there is a reason for that. If I were a simple stenographer, re-publishing press releases (and making friends with the prediction market [...]
NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets
I am happy to run Emile Servan-Schreiber’s correction (well, correcting me ) on the fact that NewsFutures still provides EPM SaaS, since I love NewsFutures’s CDA technology as much as Chris Hibbert does. However, I maintain that providers of collective intelligence solutions for companies are turning their back to the trading technology, from [...]
The Fox… and the Hedgehog
Emile Servan-Schreiber looks like the fox to me. He acknowledges a reality: the prediction market adoption problematic. (Leslie Fine is in the same boat.) Okay, but I want more proof. How come Inkling Markets administrators seem to be happy with MSR, then?
Adam Siegel is no hedgehog.
Addendum
Here is the definition of a fox (as opposed to [...]
The Iowa Health Prediction Market is usable for the probability seekers.
Iowa Health Prediction Market
Swine Influenza Prediction Markets
I like how they use icons, and the way they display probabilities on that page. It is clear, and we can get the info real quick.
Emile tells me that IHPM was developed with NewsFutures source code, but customized by them.
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Why EPM consulting is still a pretty evangelical business.
Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures (responding to Paul Hewitt):
[...] The hard part, the real hurdles to acceptance are (i) to get wide and consistent participation, (ii) to overcome the suspicion of decision makers who naturally don’t like to be second-guessed by subordinates, (iii) to get the organization to agree to ask important questions instead of trivial [...]
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