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Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: National Basketball Association
Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged air crash, air france flight 447, airbus a330, black box, Brazil, Britain, conservatives, david carradine, Gordon Brown, HubDub, la lakers, labor, National Basketball Association, NBA, orlando magic, playoffs, prediction markets, resignation
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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged adam and danny, American Idol, betting markets, boston celtics, Collective Forecasting, contestants, divorce, epidemic, event derivative markets, female justice, final two, H1N1, HubDub, influenza, Influenza A (H1N1), Italy, Justice Souter, Mexican Flu, Mexico, National Basketball Association, NBA, nba playoffs, new wife, orlando magic, pandemic, playoffs, prediction markets, Silvio Berlusconi, Sonia Sotomayor, souter, Supreme Court, supreme court justices, supreme court nominees, swine flu, WHO, World Health Organization, young woman
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The Case for Decrimininalization of Prediction Markets
[This article is cross-posted from Major Wager.] – A recent article in the prestigious academic journal Science (May 16, 2008, Vol 320, p. 877-8) once again makes the case for regulated prediction markets, more commonly known as “betting exchanges” to … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged Bear Sterns, BetFair, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, decision-making tool, Dublin, economist, Enron, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, federal law, Internet casinos, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, internet gambling laws, InTrade, Iowa, Iraq, Jay Graziani, Justin Wolfers, laws, Major, MATCHBOOK, Middle East, National Basketball Association, NBA, oil, oil crisis, online gamblers, online prediction markets, Pennsylvania, Pentagon, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, profit-making tools, real-money prediction exchanges, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, S&P 500, sports betting, Stanford, the Science, The University of Iowa, the University of Pennsylvania, TradeSports, United States, United States Congress, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, Wager, Wharton School, Yale
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Linear Programming – Combined Value Trading – Parimutuel Call Market – Combinatorial Call Markets
- David Pennock: [...] Each order is associated with a decision variable x that ranges between 0 and 1, encoding the fraction of the order that the auctioneer can accept. There is one constraint per outcome that ensures that the … Continue reading
TRADESPORTS STOLE MY MONEY, claims trader Todd.
TradeSports’s side of the story, in my words: Todd’s trades on NHL games was reversed by TradeSports under Contract Rule 1.2 (“unrepresentative price”). _NHL.CAL@SJS.OVER5.5_ (mailto:NHL.CAL@SJS.OVER5.5) Sold 40 contracts at a price of 38.0 at: 05:32:27 AM GMT 01/04/08 Pre-game orders … Continue reading
Is Steve Roman the Planet Earth’s best psychic of all times –past, present and future?
Steve Roman: Why Hedgestreet Will Fail They lead the prediction market field in generation of press releases, but their volumes and fees are abysmal. They are in an imaginary niche. The big boys play at the CME. The little guys … Continue reading
Justin Wolfers’ motivation is to improve our understanding of the world.
“DJ” (a university professor) from the collective blog, The Wages Of Wins: [Y]ou need to understand the nature of academic research. As professors of economics we have a tremendous amount of freedom. We are asked to do research, but choice … Continue reading
Has Justin Wolfers responded elsewhere to Rick Borghesi’s argument?
Rick Borghesi, in August 2007: [...] I take the position (PDF) that, while point shaving in amateur sports may be somewhat more common than previously believed, the suspicious statistical trend that he identifies (heavy favorites win yet fail to cover … Continue reading