Tag Archives: HP

Steve Wozniak and Ron Wayne are the two guys who started Apple with Steve Jobs in his parents’ garage. — [VIDEO]

Bloomberg. Via.

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How the prediction market industry lied to the media (and the public, *YOU*) about Hewlett-Packard’s pilot tests regarding enterprise prediction markets

Paul Hewitt on the Hewlett-Packard (HP) prediction markets: Another tried-and-true method is to repeat a statement over-and-over until it becomes a “fact”. The best example of this, regarding prediction markets, is the claim that they are “proven” by virtue of … Continue reading

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The truth about (enterprise) prediction markets

Paul Hewitt: [...] In virtually every case, the prediction market forecast is closer to the official HP forecast than it is to the actual outcome. Perhaps these markets are better at forecasting the forecast than they are at forecasting the … Continue reading

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Did the use of enterprise prediction markets by HP impress you?

It didn’t impress Paul Hewitt… UPDATE #1 — UPDATE #2

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PREDICTION MARKET STARTUP GRABS REKNOWNED RESEARCHER AWAY FROM HP LABS. — TIPPING POINT FOR THE PREDICTION MARKET INDUSTRY?

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Spot the red line. I like the idea of this comparison.

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Prediction markets are the best way to tap into the wisdom of crowds.

Swarm Creativity Blog: Thursday, April 26, 2007 On Stage: Scott Cooper, MIT researcher with the Sloan School of Management, co-author of Coolhunting Peter Gloor, MIT researcher with the Sloan School of Management, co-author of Coolhunting Steve O’Keefe, moderator Listening in … Continue reading

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FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HEDGESTREET BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”): – Why is it that HedgeStreet (the U.S.’s first CFTC-regulated real-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited? – Could you share with us … Continue reading

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FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HSX BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”): – Why is it that Hollywood Stock Exchange (the world’s #1 play-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited? – Could you share with … Continue reading

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U Turn: Robin Hanson is against competitive forecasting, now.

Step One: Robin Hanson talks up “competitive forecasting”, in December 2006. [...] On the other hand, complex trading environments discourage many people from contributing their information. So some vendors, such as Newsfutures and HP, are experimenting with skipping the trading … Continue reading

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