Tag Archives: Caveat Bettor

John Delaney Obituary — [LINKS]

Posted on May 30, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

I’ve updated my original post, but I guess most of my readers didn’t return to it, so I am re-listing here the reactions to InTrade CEO John Delaney‘s death. – New York Times & CNBC. – all the negative remarks … Continue reading →

InTrade CEO John Delaney (42) died on May 21, 2011, while climbing Mount Everest, and his body will remain there. — [OBITUARY]

Posted on May 24, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

New York Times & CNBC. John Delaney, 41, from Ireland, has collapsed less than 50m from the top. He left for the expedition on April 9 and was due back in Ireland at the end of this month. His body … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets, People | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, Caveat Bettor, entrepreneurs, event derivative markets, InTrade, Ireland, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Max Keiser, Mount Everest, obituary, Patrick Young, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Caveat Bettor is still into global warming prediction markets.

Posted on July 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Caveat Bettor Spot the global warming prediction markets on the right side. Cav, by the way, congrats for your PageRank of 5/10.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Caveat Bettor, climate change, climate change prediction markets, Earth temperature, global warming, global warming prediction markets, prediction markets | Leave a comment

A new blog on InTrade’s prediction markets: Prediction (Market) Insights

Posted on July 1, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Prediction (Market) Insights… by Anonymous Best wishes to him/her. I hope that he/she will reveal his/her ID in the future. “Wiser Than The Crowd” is the wrong role model in that regard, triple alas. Addendum: Thanks to my Deep Throats, … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Resources - References | Tagged Caveat Bettor, InTrade, Open Media, Prediction Insights, Prediction Market Insights, prediction markets, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

The hype is over. The party is over. — Part IV

Posted on February 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Caveat Bettor does not feature one single post on prediction markets on his blog frontpage. -

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Prediction Journalism | Tagged Caveat Bettor, prediction markets | 4 Comments

A great blog on prediction markets

Posted on September 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Just a reminder, for our new readers: – Among others, I highly recommend the blog of our good friend Caveat Bettor. -

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged Caveat Bettor, Open Media, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Why didn’t you bet with the crowd, then? You could have made a killing at the time when Joe Biden was under 50.

Posted on August 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Caveat Bettor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Joe Biden, prediction markets | 7 Comments

Barack Obama + Joe Biden — THE PREDICTION MARKETS NAILED IT… triple alas (for my reputation as a world-wide prediction market pundit, and for the debate on the different quality of the various primary indicators out there).

Posted on August 23, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

â€œFriend — I have some important news that I want to make official. Iâ€™ve chosen Joe Biden to be my running mate.â€ Some blogger says his wife is fantastic. New York Times portrait of Joe Biden. UPDATE: Barack Obama‘s speech … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Caveat Bettor, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Democratic vice president nominee, Democratic VP nominee, Evan Bayh, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Joe Biden, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction markets, primary indicators, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP nominee, VP-candidate prediction markets, VPs | 2 Comments

ENDLESS VEEPSTAKES: Why you should never trade on VP prediction markets, and why their probabilistic predictions are as stochastic as Paris Hilton’s daily dress picks.

Posted on August 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As I explained in early June 2008, the VP speculations that appear in the Press should never be taken seriously. Most of them (and you don’t know which ones) are a big orchestration of pure lies aimed at creating publicity, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Caveat Bettor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Jack Shafer, Joe Biden, John McCain, Justin Wolfers, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, VP-candidate prediction markets | 5 Comments

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