Tag Archives: blog editor

Did the BetFair blog use trading data from InTrade to hint at BetFair’s accuracy??

Latest update on the BetFair blog fiasco — I am alerted today that the BetFair blog has updated its infamous Michigan story with a new compound chart bearing a clearer label. It reads now: Republican nomination – The race so … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

WordPress is a bit like WikiMedia (the software powering Wikipedia), now.

Two weeks ago, I was seeking a WordPress way to have multiple authors for a post or a page. I found 2 interesting plugins. The CO-AUTHORS plugin, which does what it says. One specific post or page can be assigned … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology, Midas Oracle Administration, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Does open source make sense for prediction market software?

I don’t have a definitive answer —so here’s my hypothesis. As I wrote on this CFM webpage, I use open-source software for most of my needs. And the text I’m typing for this story is treated by the open-source blogging … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments

Should we believe traders who make the most money? – NO.

Should we believe traders who make the most money, relative to traders with good statistical forecasting scores? – NO. Yet another PM post over there, at Overcoming Errors dot com (where the main error is to focus on bias and … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment