Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: blog editor

Did the BetFair blog use trading data from InTrade to hint at BetFair’s accuracy??

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 23, 2008 — 3 Comments

Latest update on the BetFair blog fiasco
—
I am alerted today that the BetFair blog has updated its infamous Michigan story with a new compound chart bearing a clearer label. It reads now:
Republican nomination – The race so far
I’ll have some comments, below the chart, but first a technical note. The new chart posted is a [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

WordPress is a bit like WikiMedia (the software powering Wikipedia), now.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 5, 2008 — 1 Comment

Two weeks ago, I was seeking a WordPress way to have multiple authors for a post or a page. I found 2 interesting plugins.

The CO-AUTHORS plugin, which does what it says. One specific post or page can be assigned two or more co-author(s) by the blog editor. Very interesting. (I don’t get why the plugin [...]

Posted in Information Technology, Midas Oracle Administration, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Does open source make sense for prediction market software?

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 8, 2006 — 12 Comments

I don’t have a definitive answer —so here’s my hypothesis.
As I wrote on this CFM webpage, I use open-source software for most of my needs. And the text I’m typing for this story is treated by the open-source blogging software, Word Press.
It makes sense to use these open-source software packages (blog editor, text editor, browser, [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Software | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Should we believe traders who make the most money? – NO.

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 3, 2006 — Leave a Comment

Should we believe traders who make the most money, relative to traders with good statistical forecasting scores? – NO.

Yet another PM post over there, at Overcoming Errors dot com (where the main error is to focus on bias and not on errors). In passing, note that the Robin Hanson’s blog posts are often published at [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Search

Post Categories