Tag Archives: AEI
The CFTC safe-harbor option for event markets
The recommendation for safe-harbor of a group of influential economists to the CFTC aims squarely at the 4(c)3(K)* clause of the Commodity Exchange Act. The CFTC may approve a public interest exemption under 4(c) provided that the affected contracts are traded only between “appropriate persons”. 4(c)3(k) is the only qualification that would accommodate “retail” [...]
ROBIN HANSON’S PUBLIC ADMISSION: He signed Bob’s petitions, not because he heartfully endorsed them fully, but because he wanted to please Bob, didn’t want to be left out of the party, and was persuaded that his own blue-sky proposals wouldn’t make it —and other irrational excuses for not saying the truth to the US Congress.
Robin Hanson:
Hal and Silas, endorsing this proposal does not mean that I would not prefer other proposals; it just means I prefer this to the status quo. Chris Masse is an example of someone who has difficulty accepting this endorsement concept.
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Doc,
Why wouldn’t you:
Gather with yourself and determine under what precise circumstances you want the real-money [...]
Software Programs for Forecasting + Vertical Directories
Since the field of forecasting does indeed encompass prediction markets, I would suggest to the prediction market software vendors to try to get indexed in this directory, Forecasting Principles. (There aren’t many software packages listed, I’m a bit surprised.)
The Forecasting Principles website is written by three scholars. It is a very usable site, congrats to [...]
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