Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

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  1. BetFair’s crappy chart widgets

    They are crappy because they don’t go into feeds —contrary to InTrade and NewsFutures’s chart widgets.
    BetFair’s crappy chart widgets were crafted by DeLuxe Corporation. Yet another web service provider to avoid.

    Hearthis post

  2. WordPress blog hacked: What to do, now?

    A nasty hacker has taught a lesson to research scientist David Pennock. The lesson is that our WordPress blogs are not secure, and we should be pro-active in reinforcing their line of defense. David Pennock’s post describing how his blog was hacked is worth reading if you own a self-hosted WordPress blog. Here are the [...]

  3. Help me beating David Pennock

    Here is the problematic:
    - Midas Oracle is updated many times a day, with interesting stuff about prediction markets, collective forecasting, and other topics. In all logic, the number of Midas Oracle feed subscribers is increasing slowly but regularly.
    - Odd Head is updated each time the Catholic Pope contributes to the progress of humanity (that is, [...]

  4. *Years* later, the BetFair blogs are still *not* taking off.

    - Google PageRank of Betting @ BetFair: 5 / 10.
    - Google PageRank of BetFair Predicts: 4 / 10.
    - Number of feed subscribers at Google Reader for Betting @ BetFair: 29.
    - Number of feed subscribers at Google Reader for BetFair Predicts: 17.
    All this in spite of the 45 part-time writers and the SEO experts (or so [...]

  5. InTrade daily prediction market wrapup

    Video by our good friend, Andrew Goldberg —who, unlike Wiser Than The Crowd, is in the open.

    Tell me in the comments whether his video has value for you. If yes, then I might re-publish it daily. Or let Andrew post it himself. Let me know whether that sounds like a good idea. Give Andrew some [...]

  6. Why I unsubscribed to John Delaney (InTrade) and Jed Christiansen at Twitter

    I try to “follow” as many prediction market people on Twitter as I can (click on “following”), but I had to unfollow these 2 persons because:
    - I like Jed a lot, but he often tweets about his private life. I wouldn’t mind, but the problem is that I follow 70 people, and if they all [...]

  7. Twitter drove more traffic to Midas Oracle than Marginal Revolution (who have linked to us) did —this past week.

    FREEZE: The feed subscribers of Marginal Revolution (who came here thru Google Reader or else) are not counted, so the number for Marginal Revolution is actually higher than what Google Analytics tells me.

    This stats is only for the referring sites, not for the search engines.

    Hearthis post

  8. MicroSoft have patented the prediction markets.

    Well, at least, one aspect of the prediction markets.
    Uniited States Patent Application:
    CONTINUOUS BETTING INTERFACE TO PREDICTION MARKET
    Abstract
    A user participates in trading securities in a prediction market which represent different outcomes of an event, using an interface which allows the user to understand a trade in terms of a bet. The interface also allows the user [...]

  9. Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally

    If you have been a feed subscriber of Midas Oracle for a long time (we started in 2006 here, and in 2003 for CFM), you know that I act as a gadfly. But there is a reason for that. If I were a simple stenographer, re-publishing press releases (and making friends with the prediction market [...]

  10. Feed My Inbox = RSS to Email

    Feed My Inbox = RSS to Email – (Feed to Email)
    A great way to subscribe to Midas Oracle… for those who don’t like using a feed reader like Google Reader or else… Kind of like an e-mail newsletter, if you think of it. I am testing it right now. Let me know if you are [...]

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