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Monthly Archives: June 2010
Liberal politicians (sucking up to the Hollywood lobby) have managed to destroy one promising financial innovation applied to the movie business.
Cantor Fitzgerald abandoning box-office futures despite regulatory approval. CNBC: The End of the Box Office Futures Business The Wrap
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations
Tagged betting markets, box-office derivatives, Cantor Exchange, Cantor Fitzgerald, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, futures, Hollywood, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, Motion Picture Association Of America, movie box office, movie business, movie futures, movies, prediction markets
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The Interdependence of Prices and Gold
I gave a talk on Thursday night at the New York Investing Club meeting. The basic points: Gold does well when real rates of return are low. Real rates describe the price of gold much better than inflation alone. This … Continue reading
What’s different about Predictalot?
A predictalot user asked: What’s the difference between predict a lot y Bolsa de predicciones? they have the same things or at least very similar. ?Are you the same? They have predictions, groups, events etc. the only difference is the … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Market Prices & Probabilities, Research
Tagged David Pennock, forecasting, forecasts, Predictalot, predicting, Predictions
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BetFair: “Residents of Monaco are allow to use Betfair and all the accounts from Monaco are still opened.”
BetFair stated to me that, “Residents of Monaco are allow to use Betfair and all the accounts from Monaco are still opened.” Monaco people using a French ISP might run into temporary problems, though. So, it seems that the few … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged BetFair, France, laws, Monaco, Principality of Monaco, Regulations
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CFTC Takes Jurisdiction Over “Prediction Markets”.
First, a hearty congratulations to Robert Swagger and Trend Exchange. Along with the Cantor Exchange folks, they have run quite a gauntlet, and although there remains a tremendous obstacle in the form of the Lincoln amendment, I consider these exchanges … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Hedging & Insurance, Inventions & Innovations, Regulations
Tagged betting markets, box-office derivatives, Cantor Exchange, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivatives, economic purpose test, event derivative markets, event derivatives, futures, Hollywood, manipulation, MDEX, Media Derivatives, Media Derivatives Exchange, movie box office, movie business, movie futures, movies, MPAA, prediction markets, trading restrictions, Trend Exchange
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Midas Oracle always tells the truth.
- MAY 20: “CFTC: 3-2 in favor of approval of movie contracts –SO FAR.” – JUNE 15: “The much-delayed decision by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission came late Monday, on a 3-2 vote.“ – So much for mister Ruspini.
How to Make Money Playing Prediction Markets
How to Make Money Playing Prediction Markets
US Justice asks Prince Albert of Monaco to give every detail about his 2002-2006 employment of Robert Eringer (a US citizen) as Chief Intelligence Officer (a.k.a. “spymaster”) of the Principality of Monaco.
Robert Eringer: PRINCE ALBERT OF MONACO HAS BEEN NOTICED FOR DEPOSITION. Brigham J. Ricks, Bar No. 224750 RICKS LAW P.O. Box 3370 Santa Barbara, CA 93130-3370 (805) 884-9538 FAX (805) 884-9708 Attorney for Plaintiff, Robert Eringer UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT … Continue reading
Felix Salmon wins the ASA 2010 Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award
American Statistical Association: ALEXANDRIA VA, MAY 14, 2009 – Felix Salmon, a well known financial blogger who writes extensively about statistics, has been named the recipient of the 2010 Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award (ESRA) of the American Statistical Association … Continue reading
Posted in Journalism, Science
Tagged American Statistical Association, Felix Salmon, statistics, stats
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