Monthly Archives: January 2010

Debate is raging between Robin Hanson and the futarchy critics

Posted on January 8, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

- Robin Hanson comments on Paul Hewitt’s blog. – Paul Hewitt comments on Eric Crampton’s blog. – Paul Hewitt comments on Robin Hanson’s blog. Many exchanges with Robin Hanson. Read it all. – Paul Hewitt: [...] My point is that … Continue reading →

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Robin Hanson does not make the list.

Posted on January 7, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

No Hanson. Study.

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Betable – Bet on anything. Bet with your friends.

Posted on January 7, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Betable – Bet on anything. Bet with your friends. Via Sean Park

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One of the key reasons why timing and exact prediction is so difficult is the futility of conventional cause-effect thinking in complex adaptive systems.

Posted on January 7, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Efficient Markets and Pattern Predictions Via Sean Park

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Do not fuck with data visualization

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Download this post to watch the video —if your feed reader does not show it to you.

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Emile Servan-Schreiber’s bro on Imus

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

David Servan-Schreiber on cancer: Watch the latest business video at video.foxbusiness.com Download this post to watch this video —if your feed reader does not show it to you.

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Copenhagen Prediction Market

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

“final payoffs and ranking of ALL markets will take place shortly after 1 February 2010, when the details of the document will have been decided.”

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Ray Kurzweil (Robin Hanson’s guru) got his 1999-2009 predictions … all wrong.

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

- Michael Anissimov: Kurzweil’s Failed 2009 Predictions – More at the Next Big Future — (an excellent blog) UPDATE

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How the iPredict market maker works

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

How the iPredict market maker works

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Felix Salmon is cautiously bullish on prediction markets.

Posted on January 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

QUESTION: Tell me what you think of the (public, real-money) “prediction markets” (a.k.a. betting markets) without citing the names of either Robin Hanson or Justin Wolfers. Thanks. Are they useful, really? If not, then why are econ bloggers in love … Continue reading →

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