Monthly Archives: April 2009

They had difficulty defining BetFair.

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

In 2008, just before the SuperBowl: Betting markets like Betfair’s are a form of prediction market

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Barack Obama has *already* turned America into France, IMHO.

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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Andrew Gelman’s new book is for the Nate Silver wannabes.

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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Marketing expert Seth Godin recommends that you don’t Twitter.

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

UPDATE: Seth Godin e-mails me this: I never said that “you” shouldn’t use twitter. Not at all. I think there are plenty of people who should use twitter. I said I can’t use twitter. Different story. [...] Twitter is great … Continue reading →

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Could Google Have Caught Swine Flu (a.k.a. Mexican Flu, or H1N1) Early?

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Interview of BetFair’s Mark Davies

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Interview of BetFair’s Mark Davies

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A quick-fire fantasy baseball game where you get all the excitement of fantasy league with none of the time committment

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The next HubDub product.

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Tomorrow Matters: Ignoring the Future is Undermining the Present.

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Futurism. Via Daniel Horowitz

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The Iowa Health Prediction Market is usable for the probability seekers.

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Iowa Health Prediction Market Swine Influenza Prediction Markets I like how they use icons, and the way they display probabilities on that page. It is clear, and we can get the info real quick. Emile tells me that IHPM was … Continue reading →

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Prediction Market Orphans

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Leslie Fine has just told us that CrowdCast “abandoned” Robin Hanson’s MSR. It reminded me that TradeFair abandoned their 0–100 financial prediction exchange (modeled after InTrade and HedgeStreet). Now, the financial prediction markets are back at BetFair, which uses decimal … Continue reading →

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