Monthly Archives: October 2008

What is the real social utility of the InTrade prediction markets?

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade CEO John Delaney over-sells his prediction markets to a gullible journalist. – - Prediction markets are just an information aggregation mechanism (and also a collective anticipation mechanism), which highly depends on what the experts on the ground can discover. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged a tool of convenience, a tool of curiosity, betting markets, credit rating agencies, event derivative markets, financial crises, Forecasting (Science & Practice), InTrade, John Delaney, Moody's, prediction markets, Standard & Poor's | 19 Comments

Are micro-payments the way by which HubDub and NewsFutures could attain profitability?

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

A FaceBook case study here.

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged FaceBook, HubDub, micro-payments, micro-transactions, NewsFutures, PackRat, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Gerard Cunningham, president of BetFair USA

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Gerard Cunningham (President at BetFair USA) -

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, People | Tagged BetFair, BetFair USA, David Yu, Gerard Cunningham, prediction markets, The Sporting Exchange USA | 1 Comment

Aren’t you fed up by those obnoxious bloggers (like Chris Masse) who constantly blog about blogging and bloggers?

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- If the answer to that question is “no”, then do scan-read that interesting New York Times story about bloggers and blogging. Yes, that NYT story was written by… a blogger (who usually blogs at ValleyWag) —if you were wondering. … Continue reading →

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism | Tagged bloggers, blogging, CFM, Michael Arrington, Midas Oracle, Mike Arrington, Open Media, Paul Boutin | Leave a comment

2008 US electoral college: What I am betting on.

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

PollTrack: – I like the way they color this electoral college map —with 5 colors only (simplicity is good). It is very clear and usable, I believe. You can see 6 states in gray (“too close to call”). I am … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US presidential elections, betting markets, electoral college, event derivative markets, Florida, HubDub, InTrade, North Carolina, polls, PollTrack, prediction markets, US politics | Leave a comment

Dynamic Charts … or … Static Charts …??…

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Should prediction market journalism publish static or dynamic charts of prediction markets? – Dynamic charts are the way to go because the search engines send web visitors to the old blog posts. When the chart on the post is hot-linked … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Charting System, Prediction Journalism | Tagged bloggers, blogging, dynamic charts, Internet Usability, Open Media, prediction makets, prediction market journalism, static charts | Leave a comment

Why Chris Masse is important —(no kidding).

Posted on October 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Bloggers are influential. People are more likely to be influenced by what they read on a blog versus what their social-networking rosters recommend.

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism | Tagged bloggers, influence, Internet Marketing, marketing, Open Media, trust | Leave a comment

The definitive proof that HubDub is an indispensable prediction exchange. [*]

Posted on October 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As I told you, I am blogging as often as possible on the other blog (Midas Oracle .COM) about the 2008 US presidential elections as seen thru the eyes of the prediction markets. As I wrote there this morning, I … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US pesidential elections, Barack Obama, Dow Jones, financial crisis, Financial Markets, HubDub, prediction markets, stock markets, US politics, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

At BetFair Predicts, they are technologically retarded.

Posted on October 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- BetFair Predicts is a blog that aims at the Americans. In my view, it’s a big failure (once again). BetFair listened to some snake-oil “social media” consultant. As an experienced and successful webmaster, I can tell you there are … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Usability, Prediction Journalism | Tagged BetFair, BetFair blog, BetFair Predicts, Betting at BetFair, bloggers, blogging, chart widgets, charts, dynamic charts, feed readers, feed subscribers, feeds, Google Reader, Homer's brain, Internet Usability, Open Media, prediction markets, usability | 2 Comments

How much betting will we see?

Posted on October 27, 2008 by Koleman Strumpf

There is almost always a huge run-up in betting activity on prediction markets right before and during an event (this is equally true for sports as well as elections). In my posting about this over at Betfair’s new blog, I … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged 2008 US presidential elections, BetFair, betting makets, Election Day, elections, event derivative markets, InTrade, prediction markets, trading | 2 Comments

Monthly Archives: October 2008

Meta

Recent Posts