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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Monthly Archives: May 2008
The secret website that David Pennock does not want you to visit
Here. What is he trafficking, there, you think? -
PREDICTION MARKET TECHNOLOGY NOT IN GARTNER’S TOP 10 TECHNOLOGIES LIST
Via Jim Anderson Gartner: 1. Multicore and hybrid processors 2. Virtualization and fabric computing 3. Social networks and social software 4. Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms 5. Web mashups 6. User Interface 7. Ubiquitous computing 8. Contextual computing 9. Augmented … Continue reading
Is Big Brother being fixed in Great Britain? And are the alleged fixers using BetFair to make a fast buck (or “quid”, as they say in the U.K.)?
Via Ed, The Daily Mail: The Daily Star reveals that some punters are set to earn more than half a million pounds after a total bet of £971 was staked via BetFair on Nikki to win at 1000-1 shortly after … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Analysis (Data) - Sports / Politics Corruption, BetFair, Betting, betting exchange, betting markets, Big Brother, Daily Star, event derivative markets, event derivatives, GBP, Great Britain, insider trading, integrity, Joe A. Doe, prediction markets, The Daily Mail, The Daily Star, United Kingdom
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VIDEO — Robotic Mule
Nigel, you should set up some kind of prediction market about that at HubDub. Amazing. – - Via the ultra-interesting Robin Hanson —who, for once, does not write a soporific post. Un-Important Technical Note: The video above is dated 2008, … Continue reading
The CFTC launched an investigation into potential irregularities in the cotton-futures market. The probe concerns a dramatic spike in cotton prices, followed by a drop, in early March.
Of interest to Jason Ruspini, whose last comment touched the issue. Wall Street Journal: The agency’s stepped-up scrutiny of the agriculture markets comes in response to criticisms aired at a CFTC hearing in April that speculators and other financial investors … Continue reading
The Most Hilarious Comment I Have Spotted This Friday
Justin Wolfers is making a “wisdom of crowds” experiment, asking Freako readers to guess how he’ll score on a Marathon he’s doing. Most of the commenters give a guess in between 4 hours and 5 hours. – Then, that one … Continue reading
Predictify v Pikum v Hubdub: Who will be top at the end of May?
Would it have been better if the contract tracked the cumulative usage, as opposed to the usage on a D day (here, the last day of May)? Or maybe the averaged (or cumulative) usage for all of May? -
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged D day, HubDub, Pikum, Predictify, prediction markets
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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets
Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Resources - References
Tagged California, Cambridge, Center for Prediction Markets, Chapman University, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, Cologne, Economic Science Institute, Economics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, George Mason University, Germany, Google, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, Hewlett-Packard, HP Labs, Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science, Iowa, Knowledge Lab, laboratories, Laboratory for Economics Management and Auctions, Laboratory for Experimental Economics and Political Science, labs, Massachusetts, Microsoft, MIT Center, Mountain View, National Chengchi University, Palo Alto, Pasadena, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, Redmont, Research, Taiwan, United States, University of Iowa, University of Virginia, Vecon Lab, Virginia, Washington, Yahoo!, Yahoo! Research Labs
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