Monthly Archives: May 2008

The secret website that David Pennock does not want you to visit

Here. What is he trafficking, there, you think? -

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PREDICTION MARKET TECHNOLOGY NOT IN GARTNER’S TOP 10 TECHNOLOGIES LIST

Via Jim Anderson Gartner: 1. Multicore and hybrid processors 2. Virtualization and fabric computing 3. Social networks and social software 4. Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms 5. Web mashups 6. User Interface 7. Ubiquitous computing 8. Contextual computing 9. Augmented … Continue reading

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Is Big Brother being fixed in Great Britain? And are the alleged fixers using BetFair to make a fast buck (or “quid”, as they say in the U.K.)?

Via Ed, The Daily Mail: The Daily Star reveals that some punters are set to earn more than half a million pounds after a total bet of £971 was staked via BetFair on Nikki to win at 1000-1 shortly after … Continue reading

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VIDEO — Robotic Mule

Nigel, you should set up some kind of prediction market about that at HubDub. Amazing. – - Via the ultra-interesting Robin Hanson —who, for once, does not write a soporific post. Un-Important Technical Note: The video above is dated 2008, … Continue reading

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The CFTC launched an investigation into potential irregularities in the cotton-futures market. The probe concerns a dramatic spike in cotton prices, followed by a drop, in early March.

Of interest to Jason Ruspini, whose last comment touched the issue. Wall Street Journal: The agency’s stepped-up scrutiny of the agriculture markets comes in response to criticisms aired at a CFTC hearing in April that speculators and other financial investors … Continue reading

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The Most Hilarious Comment I Have Spotted This Friday

Justin Wolfers is making a “wisdom of crowds” experiment, asking Freako readers to guess how he’ll score on a Marathon he’s doing. Most of the commenters give a guess in between 4 hours and 5 hours. – Then, that one … Continue reading

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Predictify v Pikum v Hubdub: Who will be top at the end of May?

Would it have been better if the contract tracked the cumulative usage, as opposed to the usage on a D day (here, the last day of May)? Or maybe the averaged (or cumulative) usage for all of May? -

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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

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Extreme Prediction Markets & Ethics

While Robin Hanson was busy signing Bob’s petitions and blablabling on philosophy, Jason Ruspini answered the questions. Jason Ruspini (“The Brain”) has established himself as one of the experts in the field of prediction markets. Listen up. – 1-2) These … Continue reading

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He asks questions; you’ll provide answers.

I would like to ask the U.S. contributors to Midas Oracle what they would make of a prediction market for the 2012 Democratic nomination where one contender was backed heavily, at any price, despite losing every single primary heavily for … Continue reading

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