Monthly Archives: August 2007

Does Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets exist really?

Or is he a virtual avatar of Nathan Kontny, the original Inkling founder? And can he read English? On June 8, 2007, and more recently on August 29, 2007, I have highlighted that there’s a historical error (among other improprieties) … Continue reading

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Cooperation between BetFair and the British Horseracing Authority: IT IS WORKING.

Via betting market expert Niall O’Connor, The Guardian: Tom and Mark are the betting analysts in the security department at the British Horseracing Authority, and the breadth and power of the information at their disposal is remarkable. The sport in … Continue reading

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Unusual configuration of open interest in the S&P 500 Index’s September options

Nobody manages to understand why. – (The Street .com – 4 pages) UPDATE: Answer.

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After Freakonomics, will Marginal Revolution join the New York Times site?

That would make a great prediction market at Inkling Markets. – Same question for Overcoming Bias dot com. Note that I wrote “join”, not “be bought out by”. Difference.

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BetFair Horse Racing Form powered by TimeForm

BetFair Horse Racing Form powered by TimeForm Stay on top of your horse racing with Betfair Racing’s form guide – New FAST results service – Live information service. This will include live information providing the latest non-runners, jockey changes, going … Continue reading

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Internet casino and bookmaker BoDog is sued for patent infringement… and loses its domain name.

… since the domain names (BoDog.com and others) are the only BoDog proprieties “within the reach of US courts”. More. The patent at issue is U.S. Patent No. 5,564,001. Abstract A system and device is provided that enhances the interactivity … Continue reading

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Hillary Clinton is the next US president.

Source: InTrade InTrade should offer these charts in a dynamic form.

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Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets

— #1. WHAT I DISLIKE IN ADAM SIEGEL: He is not close enough to the prediction market scholars and their research. EJSS and David Perry seem to have closer relationships with them —intellectually and/or personally. #2. WHAT I LIKE IN … Continue reading

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We need plenty of industry prediction markets.

The Sim Exchange: The industry has demanded and the simExchange is responding. We are introducing a new type of futures contract to forecast the total video game software sales in a particular month. The reason this is important is to … Continue reading

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The simExchange on July video game sales

This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading

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