– Asia Times: […-] Outperforming Taiwan’-s polls shouldn’-t be hard. They’-re notoriously bad as a forecast of election outcomes. In late 2006, for example, many media polls underrated the pro-independence party’-s support – a recurring problem. Taiwan’-s prediction markets did … Continue reading
– Niall, my good Lord, Firstly, thanks for your constant scrutiny of my web activities. I’-m so honored —-and you should be too, because I’-m one of your feed subscribers. As you point out, that post was not an instance … Continue reading
Link. Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse: Prediction Markets Meet professor Justin Wolfers. Become “friend” with me on Google E-Mail so as to share feed items with me within Google Reader. Nigel Eccles’ flawed “vision” about HubDub shows that … Continue reading
Firstly, I’-d like to say that I respect Donald Luskin as a Wall Street professional and as a libertarian blogger. But I think that his explainer is too simplistic. – Not a single word on the concept of probabilistic prediction: … Continue reading
– …- dixit James Surowiecki (commenting on Felix Salmon’-s post): Interesting. The Hollywood Stock Exchange, not surprisingly, did better [than InTrade]. Cotillard was, as at Intrade, a comfortable second favorite. But so too was Swinton —- in fact, she was … Continue reading
Thus, the Nokia executives are pretty secretive about it. Bad luck for them, there’-s a group blog on the Web that specializes on prediction markets and that digs deep. So, here’-s an inkling into Nokia’-s enterprise prediction markets. The material … Continue reading
Well…- if the embedded video works fine. (If not, go to the site, and click on “-MSNBC live feed”-.) MSNBC Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse: Five reasons Hillary Clinton should be worried TURNING POINT: BARACK OBAMA … Continue reading
They do poorly, as of today. Not surprising, since their content is not interesting (to say the least, and to stay correct). The only traction in the feed readership stats (compiled by the Google Reader, the world’-s most popular feed … Continue reading
Xpree launches Open Innovation Markets, a simplified betting interface and also a new website. Open Innovation Markets combines crowd based innovation, voting and prediction markets. The idea is to brainstorm as a community, vote on the ideas to rank them, … Continue reading
Dear Midas Oracle readers, I’-m happy to report progress in building the architecture and content of our group blog, Midas Oracle. Let me introduce you to our 2 master pages: “-PREDICTIONS”- and “-BEST”-. —- —- #1. PREDICTIONS http://www.midasoracle.org/predictions/ = our … Continue reading
