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Video
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Video
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James Surowiecki – Short video
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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Video #1
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Video #2
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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UPDATE:

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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Nial,
Happy to see you did not succumb to an overdose of Swiss chocolates. ![]()
How is your wife and your dog?
Have a great Summer,
Signed: Chris “-Maverick”- Masse
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ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —-(electoralmarkets.com).
By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen. ![]()
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For more on probabilistic predictions, go to our “-Predictions”- page, or visit the prediction exchanges.
Alternatively, if you want an electoral map made of polls, go to electoral-vote.com.
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Video
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Challenge #1: Get that “-Bambi Francisco”- to pronounce your last name correctly. ![]()
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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Live Steam Audio of the Third WorkShop on Prediction Markets?
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UPDATE
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
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My first argument is to value hedging, its role in the economy, and its function as a booster for the derivative exchanges (including event derivative exchanges). My second argument is to say that it’-s up to the CFTC to lower the regulatory costs, again, as they did a first time for HedgeStreet (the first non-intermediated derivative exchange) in 2004. I understand that my argumentation is special, and some of you might think that I have a screw lose. That’-s a fair criticism. That’-s OK —-I can take it. ![]()
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My 2 comments to the CFTC:
– My first comment-
– My second comment.
I’-ll probably end up in the group of losers, after the CFTC will have ruled. ![]()
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Jason Ruspini has, of course, a much more elaborated view, and you might refer to his comment to the CFTC —-for a more vertical argumentation.
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But I also support Tom W. Bell’-s argumentation, because, obviously, his argumentation has value. (Other people have interesting takes, too.)
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Speaking of Tom W. Bell, take a look at his series of comments responding to Jason Ruspini’-s critiques.
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse: