Tag Archives: web searches

Flu prediction markets can correct Google Flu Trends.

Posted on December 15, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

2 practicing physicians laugh at using collective intelligence for nation-wide flu detection: [...] Flu Trends tracks almost perfectly with data on influenzalike illnesses that the CDC obtains from doctors’ offices. And as an added bonus, Flu Trends detects outbreaks up … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Humor, Information Technology, Inventions & Innovations, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Google vs. Prediction Markets — Which of the 2 will detect the flu, first?

Posted on December 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

An Irish research team hopes to make accurate forecasts of key public health indicators. University College Cork (UCC) School of Medicine + Intrade Dr Dylan Evans: Prediction markets are [specialized], small-scale financial markets operated to predict future events. The idea … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Philanthropy, Resources - References, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Do give the Nobel prize to Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock. — Santo Subito! [*]

Posted on November 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

He and his co-authors were the first to publish about the fact that flu-related searches on the Web are precise predictors of the upcoming influenza outbreaks. Congrats. Best wishes for the rest of their scientific career. [*] “Make him a … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Science, The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Who needs the Iowa Health Prediction Exchange anymore now that we have Google Flu Trends?

Posted on November 13, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Google Flu Trends – Iowa Health Prediction Market – BBC New York Times WSJ Health blog -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Chris Masse’s second comment to the CFTC on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Chris F. Masse Midas Oracle cfm —— midasoracle —— com chrisfmasse —— gmail —— com July 6th, 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st St. NW Washington D.C. 20581 Attention: Office of the Secretariat- secretary@cftc.gov Reference: Concept … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments