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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: weather
The 2010 Global Warming Exchange has been closed.
Here. 2010 was a warm year, despite record snow and ice in highly populated areas. Here is the message I provided on the expiry: The NASA GISS GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2010 averaged out to 0.6325 Celsius above baseline. … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged betting markets, climate, event derivative markets, global climate, global cooling, global warming, Global Warming Exchange, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, weather
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“Cool it” – Bjorn Lomborg on climate change (global warming?) – [VIDEO]
Posted in Politics, Science, The Global Economy
Tagged Bjorn Lomborg, climate, climate change, climate science, Earth, fear, global politics, global warming, Planet Earth, Politics, scare tactics, US politics, weather
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You can’t have accumulator bets on the weather of neighboring regions…
… because “if it snows in one city, it’s likely to snow in another city.” In other words, these weren’t independent events. Via Barry Ritholtz (author of Bailout Nation)
Posted in Betting
Tagged accumulator bet, accumulator bets, Bet, bets, Betting, bookmaker, bookmakers, Christmas, Great Britain, Ladbrokes, United Kingdom, weather, White Christmas bet, White Christmas bets
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Did the CFTC relax its ECPs requirement for eBOTs?
Contra Chris Masse (who blogged cockily that that would never happened), WeatherBill is now available to any weather-sensitive business, large or small. No $1m net worth required, anymore. Developing… Waiting for a P.R. release from them today [tomorrow, on another … Continue reading
Sean Park didn’t bribe me to post this web link.
WeatherBill – New user interface – Check it out. And, of course, they blog. UPDATE: Sunshine Guaranteed or Your Money Back – pdf
WeatherBill C.E.O. David Friedberg hopes to persuade [!?] the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (C.F.T.C.) to change the requirement that currently limits weather derivative traders to accredited investors with a minimum net worth of $1 million.
Hummmmmmmmm… Quite a bold ambition. I’m very surprised by his statement. Is he naive? Via our chief economist Michael Giberson. UPDATE: Did the CFTC relax its ECPs requirement for eBOTs?
Storms vs. Hurricanes
There will be more than 14 named Atlantic storms in 2008. © NewsFutures – There will be more than 9 named Atlantic Hurricanes in 2008. © NewsFutures – NewsFutures’ chart widgets are the world’s most usable —from the standpoint of … Continue reading
Land-Ocean year-to-date temperatures 0.35 Celsius over baseline
according to GISS. Assuming the Intrade “Top 5″ global warming contract expires according to the Land Ocean Index, May – Dec 2008 temperatures will need to average 0.65 Celsius over baseline. The record was set back in 2005, 0.62 Celsius … Continue reading