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Tag Archives: tax prediction markets
Multi-millionaire, Republican, professor of economics Greg Mankiw uses Jason Ruspini’s tax prediction markets at InTrade to assess the probability that a hypothetical John McCain presidency starting in 2009 assumes a raise in federal taxes.
Via Marginal Revolution P(tax hike / McCain) = 74%. APPENDIX: Robin Hanson does not know yet who he is going to vote for, in November 2008… and feels that no scholar can help him.
Posted in Analysis (Data), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged 2008 US congressional elections, 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, betting markets, Economics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, federal taxes, Greg Mankiw, InTrade, Jason Ruspini, Politics, prediction markets, tax hike, tax prediction markets, tax raise, US congressional elections, US elections, US elections prediction, US politics, US presidential elections, US taxes prediction
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How have Jason Ruspini’s tax futures markets at InTrade-TradeSports fared, so far?
- The most liquid of the Jason Ruspini-created contracts: – - – I would like to talk a bit about the Internet marketing of these prediction markets, in the rest of this present post. – As you all know, Jason … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Midas Oracle Statistics, Prediction Journalism
Tagged BBN, Bloomberg, Chris Masse-free, Club For Growth, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, Fabian John, Google, Internet Marketing, Internet marketing thoughts, InTrade, Jakob Nielsen, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, prediction markets, tax futures, tax futures markets, tax prediction markets, Tom Next, web forum, YouTube
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Jason Ruspini was an imprudent and cocky predictor, but, in the end, he is a honest man.
Jason Ruspini went overboard on BBN TV, claiming his tax futures markets will become InTrade’s most popular ones in 2009, but he managed to control well his descent to Earth: [Y]es they have lost a lot of steam and that … Continue reading
Hedge your taxes –and forecast them too.
The mainstream media continue to show interest for Jason Ruspini’s tax futures markets. Previously: Video.
2009 tax futures yielding 1.5%
The “>34″ contracts are being offered at 96. If you discount the possibility of the marginal tax rate for that year being below 34%, this is an annual yield of about 1.5%, after transaction fees. The 2010 “>34″s are paying … Continue reading
In spite of their inherent complexity, Jason Ruspini’s tax rate prediction markets show some liquidity.
Not surprising: plenty of good advanced indicators. (David Pennock, do take notice. ) Jason “Avida Dollars” Ruspini’s tax rate prediction markets are finally accessible thru InTrade V2. Great. That allows me to publish dynamic charts, now. (With V1, there aren’t … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, Federal Reserve System, Jason Ruspini, prediction markets, tax event futures, tax futures, tax prediction markets, tax rate prediction markets
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Intrade, with carry
For years now, a criticism of Intrade has been its lack of a positive carry in long-term markets. In contrast to regulated futures exchanges, Intrade does not pay out interest on deposits to most traders. While understandable, this discourages liquidity … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Transaction Costs
Tagged average Intrade trader, InTrade, Jason Ruspini, prediction markets, President, tax futures, tax prediction markets, tax rate futures, tax rate prediction markets, Trader, United States
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Meet Jason Ruspini, Financial Research Analyst.
[I took the shot when he was smiling ---saying, "Well, obviously, they are not EuroDollars yet", or something of that effect.] Jason Ruspini @ LinkedIn Jason Ruspini’s blog Jason Ruspini @ Midas Oracle [Jason Ruspini is the little joker who … Continue reading