Tag Archives: Robert Hahn

Prediction markets didn’t “revolutionize” decision-making —and will never do. However, they are a nice condiment to the classic forecasting toolkit.

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have spent several hours re-reading the 2004 AEI-Brookings book, “Information Markets” (by which they mean “prediction markets”). It is a collection of un-enlightening research articles —except for the IEM article, which is outstanding, both on the factual and theoretical … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged 2008 US presidential election, accuracy, AEI-Brookings, Bob Hahn, Collective Decision Making, decision making, efficiency, enterprise prediction markets, Information Markets, Paul Tetlock, prediction markets, public prediction markets, Robert Hahn, The Truth About Prediction Markets, velocity | Leave a comment

My response to the CFTC on event contracts

Posted on July 5, 2008 by Jason Ruspini

Here is my response to the CFTC’s “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts.” I appreciate this opportunity to help in working towards regulated prediction markets in the US, and I thank the Commissioners for it. Given … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Regulations | Tagged arbitrator, Brookings Institution Press, candidate, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre, Congress, Democratic president, Department of the Treasury, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Eriz Zitzewitz, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, General, insurance contracts, Iraq, Islamic Republic of Iran, Jason Ruspini, Justin Wolfers, laws, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, oil prices, particular product, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, President, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, S&P 500, Securities and Exchange Commission, South Carolina, the candidate, Trader, United States, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, USD, Washington D.C. | Leave a comment

The American Enterprise Institute’s proposals to legalize real-money prediction markets in the United States of America

Posted on June 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The Promise of Prediction Markets – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Marco Ottaviani, Thomas C. Schelling, Robert J. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged AEI, American Enterprise Institute, Cass R. Sunstein, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, federal regulatory agency, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Hal R. Varian, Iowa, Iraq, Jason Ruspini, John O. Ledyard, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth J. Arrow, laws, legalization, Marco Ottaviani, Michael Gorham, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul Wolfowitz, Philip E. Tetlock, Porter, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Forsythe, Robert Hahn, Robert J. Shiller, Robert Litan, Robin Hanson, Saul Levmore, sports events, The University of Iowa, Thomas C. Schelling, Tom W. Bell, United States Of America, US Congress, USD, Vernon L. Smith, young economist | 27 Comments

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Posted on May 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Consultants – - Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) Adam Siegel â€” Post Archives at Midas Oracle Nathan Kontny – NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.) Emile Servan-Schreiber â€” Post Archives at Midas Oracle Maurice … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Consulting | Tagged A. Huberman - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, American Enterprise Institute, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, BPH Technologies, Calgary, California, Canada, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, consultancy firms, consultants, Consulting, consulting firms, corporate prediction markets, D.C., David Perry, David Shahar, Director, Durham, economic tools, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, energy, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, George Mason, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Labs, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Jed Christiansen, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, London, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Mikael Edholm, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, North Carolina, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, prediction market consultants, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott - Charles Plott, Raleigh, Robert Hahn, Robert Wilburn, Robin Hanson, Software architect / Zocalo project manager, Tennessee, United Kingdom, United States, Virginia, VP Business development, VP R&D, Washington | Leave a comment

The CFTC safe-harbor option for event markets

Posted on May 28, 2008 by Jason Ruspini

The recommendation for safe-harbor of a group of influential economists to the CFTC aims squarely at the 4(c)3(K)* clause of the Commodity Exchange Act. The CFTC may approve a public interest exemption under 4(c) provided that the affected contracts are … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Tagged AEI, American Enterprise Institute, CEA, CFTC, Commodity Exchange Act, Congress, economists, event derivative markets, event derivatives, petition, prediction markets, Robert Hahn, Trader | 2 Comments

A historical Robin Hanson fanboy can’t believe his hero signed Bob’s ill-informed and unwise petition.

Posted on May 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Hal Finney: My concern is that the small stakes limit of $2,000, the limits on who can operate markets, and the limitations on the scope of markets, will lead to spotty coverage which will preclude a robust evaluation of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged CFTC, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hal Finney, prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, USD | Leave a comment

STEVE LEVITT’S FREAKONOMICS HIJACKED BY HACKER — FAMOUS ECONOMICS BLOG TEMPORARILY DEFACED — ANTI-SPORTS BETTING BILE VOICED

Posted on May 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Freakonomics, the famous blog on economics, is powered by WordPress, which is known [*] to have grave security vulnerabilities. Yesterday, a dangerous hacker managed to get access to their blogging software, and published an opinion on the regulation of prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Humor | Tagged CFTC, economists, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Freakonomics, Humor, Justin Wolfers, petition, prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Steve Levitt | Leave a comment

Is the promise of prediction markets in the United States best explored in limited, small stakes markets under a CFTC safe harbor declaration?

Posted on May 16, 2008 by Michael Giberson

I haven’t turned up the latest edition of Science magazine mentioned yesterday by Chris F. Masse, but a version of the Science article “The Promise of Prediction Markets“, is available from the AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies (find … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Politics, Regulations | Tagged AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies, American Enterprise Institute, CFTC, Charles R. Plott, Chris F. Masse, Congress, Daniel Kahneman, event derivative markets, event derivatives, hard-core PM, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Shyam Sunder, sports events, United States, USD | 1 Comment

Bob Hahn turns the PETITION into a CONSENSUS.

Posted on May 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Bob Hahn turns lead into gold. — Via Google’s Bo Cowgill, Robert Hahn and Paul Tetlock’s Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal (mirror at AEI-Brookings – mirror at AEI): [...] These markets often predict more accurately than experts. Why? They … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center, Bob Hahn, Bob Himself, Chris Hibbert, Chris Masse, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Daniel Kahneman, economist, Google, Jason Ruspini, Kenneth Arrow, Paul Tetlock, prediction markets, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, serious tools, Steve Levitt, The Wall Street Journal, Thomas Schelling, United States, USD, Vernon Smith, Viva Steve Levitt, Wall Street Journal, Washington, zany Internet folks | 6 Comments

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Posted on May 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged AEI, AEI-Brookings Joint Center, California, California Institute of Technology, Charles R. Plott, Congress, Daniel Kahneman, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Forrest D. Nelson, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, Hal R. Varian, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, Iowa, John O. Ledyard, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth J. Arrow, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Maryland, Michael Gorham, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Pennsylvania, Philip E. Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Robert Forsythe, Robert Hahn, Robert J. Shiller, Robert Litan, Robin Hanson, Saul Levmore, Stanford University, Texas, Thomas C. Schelling, United States, University of California, University of Chicago, University of Iowa, University of Maryland, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, Vernon L. Smith, Yale University | 9 Comments

Tag Archives: Robert Hahn

Meta

Recent Posts