Tag Archives: prediction markets

Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]

Did Eric Zitzewitz read Dodd-Frank? Jason Ruspini: Unfortunately, election contracts and ALL event contracts appear to be prohibited by CFTC regulation 40.11, released in July 2011 as part of Dodd-Frank: “(a) Prohibition. A registered entity shall not list for trading … Continue reading

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Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]

Eric Zitzewitz: We are academic researchers who study prediction markets. We are writing in favor of allowing NADEX, or a similar entity, to offer a broad range of political and policy event futures, including the three they are currently proposing. … Continue reading

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Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]

Central banks should set up prediction markets.

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Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]

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New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]

The political prediction markets got the Democratic race wrong in New Hampshire, last time. More here. – New Hampshire – The Democrats – The Hillary Clinton event derivative was expired to 100. – New Hampshire – The Republicans – The … Continue reading

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The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]

Emile Servan-Schreiber: – Over the long run and many predictions, markets outperform most individuals; – The more participants there are in a market, the more accurate it is (although there are diminishing returns); – The more participants there are in … Continue reading

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InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]

For info, here’s the Midas Oracle feed at Twitter. I publish there plenty of prediction market news that don’t appear on this blog.

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Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]

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BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]

BetFair’s official statement. The British press on the disaster. Via Mark Davies.

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Ex-HSX Max Keiser disses real-money prediction markets (again). — [VIDEO]

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