Tag Archives: Montana

EXPIRATIONS: Puerto Rico, South Dakota, and Montana

Posted on June 4, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Expired prediction markets InTrade – -

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Democratic, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Montana, Politics, Porto Rico, prediction markets, Puerto Rico, South Dakota, US elections, US politics, USA presidential elections | Leave a comment

75,000 people turned out to hear Barack Obama at Waterfront Park, Portland, Oregon, U.S.A.

Posted on May 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Oregon’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – Kentucky’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – NewsFutures Some delegates from FL or MI will be seated at the Democratic Convention. Â© NewsFutures – First look at individual states for … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic candidate, Democratic party, democrats, Florida, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Kentucky, meta forecasting tools, Montana, NewsFutures, Oregon, Politics, Portland, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, Waterfront Park, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party | 2 Comments

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Posted on April 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – University of California at Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. – 2007-05-10~22 Gambling: Design and Implementation 1 – â€œAn Examination of the Determinants of Biased Behaviour in a Market … Continue reading →

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John Delaney – InTrade – US Politics – Fox News – YouTube

Posted on March 10, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney – InTrade – US Politics – Fox News – YouTube – 2007-02-27 Very good explainer. John Delaney mentions Justin Wolfers and Robin Hanson. It could be that the papers he refers about were written by the Iowa Electronic … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Montana, prediction exchange executive, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, United States, Virginia, YouTube | Leave a comment

And the winner is… LANCE FORTNOW.

Posted on January 5, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Page Titles – Uniq. Views – Pageviews – [since blog inception, according to Google Analytics] — Midas Oracle – 9,227 – 16,008 Midas Oracle Â» Blog Archive Â» â€œIf Virginia and Montana go democratic then the markets predicted every race … Continue reading →

Posted in Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged Alex Forshaw, Caveat Bettor, Google, Internet Gambling Prohibition, Lance Fortnow, Montana, Pascal, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, TradeSports trader, Virginia, Yahoo! | 3 Comments

REPLY–Bo Cowgill (“Color me perplexed…”)

Posted on December 2, 2006 by Alex Forshaw

Bo “the Google guy” Cowgill unleashes a counter-broadside: COLOR ME PERPLEXED by Alex Foreshaw’s [snarky sic] rant about this recent TechCentralStation article. Alex [believes] the article was an ideological, intellectually dishonest knee-jerk defense of free markets. Did we read the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged Alex Foreshaw, George Allen, Google, GOP senate, Harold Ford, Jim Talent, John Tester, Lance Fortnow, Missouri, Montana, Republican Party, Senate, USD, Virginia | Leave a comment

TechCentralStation grasps for one too many “wisdom of crowds” straws.

Posted on November 29, 2006 by Alex Forshaw

The free-market cheerleaders of TechCentralStation are only the latest media to insist, in defiance of all available evidence, that the prediction markets (Tradesports) called the Senate contest as correctly as intuition could justify, even though it was still completely wrong. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged David Pennock, Missouri, Montana, Senate, Virginia | 2 Comments

Barry Ritholtz thinks that, maybe, the prediction markets died on Election Day 2006.

Posted on November 9, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Our good friend Barry Ritholtz is quick to draw funest conclusions: While the Political futures got the House right, it appears they were wildly wrong about the Senate. That would be quite a blow to these thinly traded, tiny markets. … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Barry Ritholtz, Lance Fortnow, Montana, Professor, Republican Party, Senate, So Fast, United States Senate, Virginia, Wall Street | 2 Comments

OPEN LETTER TO THE COMMENTERS OF THE MARGINAL REVOLUTION BLOG

Posted on November 8, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Hello Professor Tyler Cowen and all the commenters, #1. Professor Lance Fortnow made a specific point: taken one day before Election Day, the TradeSports’s prediction markets of the individual races for the US Senate were accurate (provided that Virginia and … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Lance Fortnow, Montana, Professor, United States Senate, Virginia | 1 Comment

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