Tag Archives: Market Trading

NewsFutures is the most usable prediction exchange I know of.

Posted on July 8, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Each time I get to trade on a NewsFutures-run prediction market, I have the pleasure of my life. Better than sex. – A Democrat will be elected President in 2008. Â© NewsFutures – Plus, it’s easy to embed their dynamic … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Usability, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Democratic party, democrats, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Internet Usability, Market Trading, NewsFutures, play-money prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, President, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, usability | Leave a comment

HubDub question

Posted on July 8, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

I did bet $20 on the “yes” side of the CFTC prediction market. But now, I want to sell those this “yes” contract and buy a “no” contract instead. How can I do that on HubDub? Thanks. – UPDATE: Jed … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, Jed Christiansen, Market Trading, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, USD | 2 Comments

InTrade, TradeSports and BetFair trading … thru your BlackBerry

Posted on June 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- InTrade PDA interface TradeSports PDA interface – You can trade on BetFair via BlackBerry: By downloading Betfair Mobile, a Java application available with versions specific to the most popular mobile phones and PDAs; By using your device’s browser, connected … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Software | Tagged BetFair, BetFair Lite, BetFair Mobile, BlackBerry, InTrade, InTrade PDA interface, Java, Market Trading, mobile phones, PDA, PDAs, prediction markets, TradeSports, TradeSports PDA interface | 1 Comment

Extreme Prediction Markets & Ethics

Posted on May 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

While Robin Hanson was busy signing Bob’s petitions and blablabling on philosophy, Jason Ruspini answered the questions. Jason Ruspini (“The Brain”) has established himself as one of the experts in the field of prediction markets. Listen up. – 1-2) These … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Analysis (Data) - Sports / Politics Corruption, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Jason Ruspini, large trader, manipulation, Market Trading, prediction markets, Regulations, Robin Hanson, Trader | Leave a comment

InTrade’s Software Glitch? – [See Jason Ruspini's comment, at the bottom of the post.]

Posted on May 3, 2008 by Guest Author

Here is a beauty from InTrade, 12 hours ago: Bids and Asks at the same price. Looks like the ‘ol InTrade price-matching mechanism is working great. Signed: Deep Throat – - Editor’s Note: Here’s a new screen shot, taken this … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Software | Tagged bid-ask prices, Editor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, glitch, InTrade, Jason Ruspini, Market Trading, prediction exchange, prediction markets, same trader, software glitch, US' Easter | 3 Comments

BetFair Education has now a sub-site within the BetFair blog.

Posted on April 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair Education – The navigation is easy —see the menu on the left-side sidebar. I encountered only one 404. They are using Movable Type, and not WordPress, alas. The list of posts is comprehensive. They could have integrated their events … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged bet exchanges, BetFair, BetFair blog, BetFair Education, Betting, betting exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, Market Trading, prediction markets, sub-site | 4 Comments

BetFair’s future bet-matching logic

Posted on April 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- SALIENT VIRILITY REGAINED, BRITISH HONOR RESTORED, QUEEN ESCAPES AFFRONT: Astute and resourceful BetFair SEO expert has managed to put one of their sub-sites ahead of Midas Oracle in Google Web Search results. [Nick Garner] – - BetFair’s future bet-matching … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Mechanism Designs | Tagged bet matching, bet matching logic, BetFair, ESCAPES AFFRONT, Google, Market Trading, Nick Garner, prediction markets, Queen, web search results | Leave a comment

The hard questions that BetFair’s Mark Davies ducked

Posted on April 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

A BetFair trader called Pablo (no deep link): It simply beggars belief that people can have had matched bets removed from their account when nothing has gone wrong. Will there be a new department to judge the fairness of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Mechanism Designs | Tagged balanced book, BetFair, BetFair SP, BetFair Starting Price, BetFair Starting Prices, BetFair trader, deep link, Mark Davies, Market Trading, prediction markets | Leave a comment

David Pennock, a respected expert in prediction markets and market design, discusses some aspects of BetFair’s new bet-matching logic.

Posted on March 21, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

David Pennock: Arbitraging bets is the same thing as matching bets. They are equivalent. When someone places a bid at price 10 and someone else places an ask at price 9, there is an “arbitrage” that the exchange eliminates by … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs, Mechanism Designs | Tagged bet matching, bet matching logic, BetFair, chairman, combo market maker, David Pennock, economist, human market makers, job candidate, market designs, Market Trading, Michael Giberson, Midas Oracle Advisory Board, prediction markets, traders | 4 Comments

The free but unsollicited piece of advice from the Chairman of the Midas Oracle Advisory Board to the BetFair market designers.

Posted on March 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Michael Giberson: Jason, I think the allegation of queue jumping made in some of the comments is based upon a misunderstanding. BetFair is just matching the orders when a match becomes available, not inserting new orders at the front of … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading, Mechanism Designs | Tagged bet matching, bet matching logic, BetFair, chairman, Chris Hibbert, Mark Davies, market designs, Market Trading, Michael Giberson, Midas Oracle Advisory Board, prediction markets, traders | 8 Comments

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