Tag Archives: manipulation

Ex-HSX Max Keiser claims that InTrade’s Ron Paul prediction market is manipulated. — [VIDEO]

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, News, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

To get news on the E-cat, come here on Midas Oracle. To get news on CFTC rulings, go to Knowledge Problem. — [IRONY]

It should be the other way around, but those are not normal times.

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CFTC Takes Jurisdiction Over “Prediction Markets”.

First, a hearty congratulations to Robert Swagger and Trend Exchange. Along with the Cantor Exchange folks, they have run quite a gauntlet, and although there remains a tremendous obstacle in the form of the Lincoln amendment, I consider these exchanges … Continue reading

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InTrade prediction markets “got health care wrong”… — dixit Daniel Gross of Slate, a site I will no longer read.

Slate’s Daniel Gross: Don’t Short Obama Why political futures markets got the health care bill so wrong. By Daniel Gross Posted Monday, March 22, 2010, at 6:05 PM ET It would be very difficult to tote up all the times … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its 2012 Republication Nomination prediction markets?

A mysterious InTrade forum user (could be a trader or could be John Delaney) has posted this: ***** Newbie Joined: 24/01/2010 15:58:35 Messages: 1 Original thread at midasoracle.org: So the actor has to a) not care about the transaction fee … Continue reading

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?

One (anonymous) InTrade trader: I am utterly convinced Intrade participates in its own markets. Every few hours some kind of API hits the bids on the GOP 2012 nomination contract when the bids sum to more 100. It will even … Continue reading

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Trading | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

What was Max Keiser doing at InTrade HQ two years ago? –> “due diligence”…!??…

Max Keiser: [...] I asked John Delaney and his tech team when I was doing my due diligence on InTrade a couple of years ago in Dublin – about the firm’s own participation in making markets – and the potential … Continue reading

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“InTrade should address this incident and suspend the account of whoever did this.”

Dixit Jason Ruspini.

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OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]

IT IS NOW BACK TO ABOVE $60. See Jason Ruspini’s comment. UPDATE: Carlos Graterol. Joe Weisenthal. Gawker. Max Keiser. ADDENDUM More info on health care reform on Memeorandum and Politico.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Max Keiser weighs in on potential insider trading and hypothetical manipulation in the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade.

Max says that the political prediction markets are “routinely manipulated” and we often see “price rigging”… 9:57 into: Previously: What has been the best InTrade prediction market ever? Has the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade been “ahead of the commentary”?

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments