Tag Archives: Keith Jacks Gamble

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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Steve Levitt’s absurd take on blogging

There’s a video corner on the NYT/Freakonomics blog, and the first video posted there is from Steve Levitt who answers this question, “Why Blog?”. Basically, Steve Levitt says that he keeps his serious thoughts for his academic papers, and that … Continue reading

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Meet Keith Jacks Gamble.

Keith Jacks Gamble

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The Sim Exchange slightly TWEAKS its market-maker algorithm.

The Sim Exchange (simExchange): After observing a few months of trading on the simExchange, the NPC market makers have been tweaked to provide more consistent liquidity across stocks and smaller price differences between their orders. The effect of these changes … Continue reading

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The Sim Exchange: Stocks vs. Stock Derivatives (Futures & Options)

#1. SIM EXCHANGE’S Brian Shiau talks back to USABLE MARKETS’ Alex Kirtland… on the usability of the Sim Exchange. Brian Shiau: [...] I also believe gamers think of game sales in terms of lifetime sales. People remember that Halo 2 … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Contract Statements, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Why should I join the simExchange?

The Sim Exchange (a.k.a. the simExchange): 2. Ever wonder what the rest of the world really thinks about the games you already pre-ordered five months ago? The simExchange lets you observe an aggregated forecast for how many copies a game … Continue reading

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Keith Jacks Gamble: simExchange is somewhat OK, but will remained confined in play-money land.

Keith Jacks Gamble on Brian Shiau: Thanks for the response. It’s interesting to see examples of product news stories and how your markets responded. These examples suggest that your game share prices are connected with sales. I’m not surprised and … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Justin Wolfers vs. Chris Hibbert

The Economic Derivatives Market – by Justin Wolfers Conditional and Combinatorial Betting – by Chris Hibbert — If I had to bet which of the two blog posts will have a better success with the Google Search users, I’d say … Continue reading

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Prediction Markets and the Sim Exchange

Justin Patterson on Keith Jacks Gamble on the Sim Exchange (a.k.a. the simExchange): It is a valid criticism, since fundamental analysis is essentially impossible until sales data by NPD Funworld is released (Shiau has some nice empirical results relating to … Continue reading

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Brian Shiau: The Sim Exchange Works Fine, Thanks.

Brian Shiau talks back to Robin Hanson and Keith Jacks Gamble: [...] Many players realized early on that share prices on the simExchange are completely based on what other people are willing to pay: [...] [...] Empirical evidence of trading … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Trading, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments