Tag Archives: InTrade

InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]

Posted on January 4, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

For info, here’s the Midas Oracle feed at Twitter. I publish there plenty of prediction market news that don’t appear on this blog.

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, forecasting, forecasts, futures, Henry Blodget, InTrade, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions | 1 Comment

Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]

Posted on December 30, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Journalism, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged betting markets, Drudge Report, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, information, InTrade, Journalism, Matt Drudge, Media, News, Politics, prediction markets, press, US politics | Leave a comment

Once again, Yahoo!’s David Rothschild forgets to cite InTrade and BetFair as probability sources. — [OOPS]

Posted on November 10, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Here. Previously.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged BetFair, David Rothschild, InTrade, Prediction Journalism, The Signal, Yahoo! | 2 Comments

Yahoo’s David Rothschild scraps market info from InTrade (and BetFair?), does not cite them, and does not link to them. — [UPDATED]

Posted on September 23, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

David Pennock’s little protégé should receive a crash course about citing sources. C’est minable. UPDATE: David Rothschild e-mails me to say he forgot to link to InTrade and BetFair in that story, at publication time, but he added the links … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets, Yahoo!, Yahoo! News | Leave a comment

Are InTrade lying about the number of ‘predictions’ they process? — [GUEST AUTHOR]

Posted on September 13, 2011 by Guest Author

Intrade now post the following claim on their home page: Platform Metrics (More Soon) Platform operational: Since 2001 Total Predictions: 619,141,899 Average Daily Predictions: 169,589 This is just a preposterous misrepresentation of the volume of activity on the site. The … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, liquidity, prediction, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Though not a legal, registered financial advisor, Justin Wolfers hands out financial ‘advice’ to anyone who is foolish enough to listen. — [SCREENSHOT]

Posted on September 12, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

More. – “A financial adviser or stock broker should be licensed to provide any consultation on investment in securities.” -

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts, Regulations | Tagged 2012 elections, 2012 US presidential election, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, financial advisor, financial advisors, forecasting, forecasts, GOP, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, laws, Mitt Romney, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Regulations, Republican candidates, Republican Party, Republican primary, republicans, Rick Perry | Leave a comment

John Delaney’s OB — [RANT]

Posted on August 8, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

When I die, I want the doctor Pennock to write my ob. Then, I am sure only the good things will be highlighted. On InTrade: All the economists blogging about their prediction markets never mentioned the numerous disputes about the … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, People | Tagged death, InTrade, John Delaney, John Delaney's death, OB, obituary, prediction markets, TradeSports | 2 Comments

The InTrade crisis deepens as their #1 fanboy calls for unwinding all trades on the debt ceiling prediction market — [SCANDAL]

Posted on August 3, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Previously: Post-Delaney InTrade experiences turmoil related to the debt ceiling prediction market. — [CHART + LINK] As I said many times, Carl Wolfenden is an incompetent, and all the economists advertising InTrade on their blogs and in the media are … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged betting markets, debt, debt ceiling, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets, scandal, US public debt | Leave a comment

Post-Delaney InTrade experiences turmoil related to the debt ceiling prediction market. — [CHART + LINK]

Posted on August 2, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

37 pages (!!) on the InTrade message board. Once again, one can question the professionalism of the InTrade execs and the usefulness of the prediction markets.

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged betting markets, debt, debt ceiling, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets, US public debt | Leave a comment

When you die, ask David Pennock to write up your obituary. — [LINK]

Posted on August 1, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Farewell to John Delaney.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, People | Tagged InTrade, John Delaney, prediction markets | Leave a comment

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