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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: influenza
The truth about the H1N1 flu vaccine
Should you get the shot?
Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged adam and danny, American Idol, betting markets, boston celtics, Collective Forecasting, contestants, divorce, epidemic, event derivative markets, female justice, final two, H1N1, HubDub, influenza, Influenza A (H1N1), Italy, Justice Souter, Mexican Flu, Mexico, National Basketball Association, NBA, nba playoffs, new wife, orlando magic, pandemic, playoffs, prediction markets, Silvio Berlusconi, Sonia Sotomayor, souter, Supreme Court, supreme court justices, supreme court nominees, swine flu, WHO, World Health Organization, young woman
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Could Google Have Caught Swine Flu (a.k.a. Mexican Flu, or H1N1) Early?
Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet
Tagged diseases, flu, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google Flu Trends, Google Search, Google Trends, Google Web Search, influenza, keywords, Mexican Flu, predicting, Predictions, search engine requests, Search Engines, Swine Flu. H1N1
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Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive than simply looking to the recent past of flu levels.
Via the ultra-demanding Bo Cowgill: Predictions from an autoregressive model outperform [flu] predictions based on search volume. So much for the too-hastily-trumpeted predictive power of Yahoo! and Google. Yet another wisdom-of-crowds hype that ends up down the toilet. And our … Continue reading
Do give the Nobel prize to Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock. — Santo Subito! [*]
He and his co-authors were the first to publish about the fact that flu-related searches on the Web are precise predictors of the upcoming influenza outbreaks. Congrats. Best wishes for the rest of their scientific career. [*] “Make him a … Continue reading
Who needs the Iowa Health Prediction Exchange anymore now that we have Google Flu Trends?
- Google Flu Trends – Iowa Health Prediction Market – BBC New York Times WSJ Health blog -
Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Technology
Tagged detections, diseases, flu, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google, Google Flu Trends, Google Search, Google Trends, Google Web Search, influenza, Iowa Electronic Markets, Iowa Health Prediction Market, prediction markets, public health, web queries, web results, web searches
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ALL our real-money prediction exchanges (betting exchanges) have a play-money ground.
BetFair – (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) BetFair Play For Fun Only English Soccer TradeSports – (The Netherlands Antilles) Play-Money TradeSports — PredictionX — Launched in February 2006. InTrade – (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.) FT Predict — (play-money InTrade with … Continue reading
Iowa Health Prediction Market Opens Trading On Avian Flu Market.
Press release: “Many health care workers are the first to know about influenza activity in their communities and that information can help predict the course of an infectious disease. This forecasting tool taps into that disperse knowledge to provide important … Continue reading