Tag Archives: flu

Novartis CEO Dr. Daniel Vasella on producing H1N1 vaccine.

Posted on November 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

And here’s a good Gawker post on Nouriel Roubini’s recent predictions.

Posted in Inventions & Innovations, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The truth about the H1N1 flu vaccine

Posted on October 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Should you get the shot?

Posted in Science | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Could Google Have Caught Swine Flu (a.k.a. Mexican Flu, or H1N1) Early?

Posted on April 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive than simply looking to the recent past of flu levels.

Posted on March 27, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via the ultra-demanding Bo Cowgill: Predictions from an autoregressive model outperform [flu] predictions based on search volume. So much for the too-hastily-trumpeted predictive power of Yahoo! and Google. Yet another wisdom-of-crowds hype that ends up down the toilet. And our … Continue reading →

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Flu prediction markets can correct Google Flu Trends.

Posted on December 15, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

2 practicing physicians laugh at using collective intelligence for nation-wide flu detection: [...] Flu Trends tracks almost perfectly with data on influenzalike illnesses that the CDC obtains from doctors’ offices. And as an added bonus, Flu Trends detects outbreaks up … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Humor, Information Technology, Inventions & Innovations, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Google vs. Prediction Markets — Which of the 2 will detect the flu, first?

Posted on December 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

An Irish research team hopes to make accurate forecasts of key public health indicators. University College Cork (UCC) School of Medicine + Intrade Dr Dylan Evans: Prediction markets are [specialized], small-scale financial markets operated to predict future events. The idea … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Philanthropy, Resources - References, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Do give the Nobel prize to Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock. — Santo Subito! [*]

Posted on November 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

He and his co-authors were the first to publish about the fact that flu-related searches on the Web are precise predictors of the upcoming influenza outbreaks. Congrats. Best wishes for the rest of their scientific career. [*] “Make him a … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Science, The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Who needs the Iowa Health Prediction Exchange anymore now that we have Google Flu Trends?

Posted on November 13, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Google Flu Trends – Iowa Health Prediction Market – BBC New York Times WSJ Health blog -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment