Tag Archives: flu
Novartis CEO Dr. Daniel Vasella on producing H1N1 vaccine.
And here’s a good Gawker post on Nouriel Roubini’s recent predictions.
The truth about the H1N1 flu vaccine
Should you get the shot?
Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive than simply looking to the recent past of flu levels.
Via the ultra-demanding Bo Cowgill:
Predictions from an autoregressive model outperform [flu] predictions based on search volume.
So much for the too-hastily-trumpeted predictive power of Yahoo! and Google. Yet another wisdom-of-crowds hype that ends up down the toilet.
And our research scientist David Pennock will have to find another topic (for instance, prediction markets) to get a Nobel [...]
Do give the Nobel prize to Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock. — Santo Subito! [*]
He and his co-authors were the first to publish about the fact that flu-related searches on the Web are precise predictors of the upcoming influenza outbreaks.
Congrats.
Best wishes for the rest of their scientific career.
[*] “Make him a Saint, now!”, in Italian.
Who needs the Iowa Health Prediction Exchange anymore now that we have Google Flu Trends?
- Google Flu Trends
- Iowa Health Prediction Market
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BBC
New York Times
WSJ Health blog
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