Tag Archives: experts
Robin Hanson at Singularity Summit 2009 — How Does Society Identify Experts and When Does It Work?
Robin Hanson at Singularity Summit 2009 — How Does Society Identify Experts and When Does It Work?
Robin Hanson at Singularity Summit 2009 — How Does Society Identify Experts and When Does It Work? from Michael Anissimov on Vimeo.
More videos of Singularity Summit 2009
Singularity Summit 2009 @ Vimeo
How Does Society Identify Experts and When Does It Work?
Robin Hanson @ The Singularity Summit @ New York City, New York, U.S.A. – 2009-10-03∼04
That’s a good one.
Dr. Tetlock is an expert, which by his own research would seem to indicate that he is probably wrong!
Excellent.
Track records + Prediction markets — Will they mix up well?
Yet another reason why we should *not* call it the “Prediction Market Institute”…
Nicholas Kristof:
So what about a system to evaluate us prognosticators? Professor Tetlock suggests that various foundations might try to create a “trans-ideological Consumer Reports for punditry,” monitoring and evaluating the records of various experts and pundits as a public service. I agree: Hold [...]
“Still, as noted, it was a good election for [the] prediction markets and another piece of evidence of their superiority over the pundit[s] (and at least parity with the poll).”
Dixit Nigel Eccles in a comment.
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at least parity with the poll
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I agree with the above.
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their superiority over the pundits
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What documented evidence do you have about that, mister the cocky entrepreneurial Scotsman?
John Tierney linked to that Huffington Post that listed the pundits’ predictions about the total number of electoral votes that each presidential candidate would take. [...]
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