Tag Archives: derivatives

Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]

Posted on February 2, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

Did Eric Zitzewitz read Dodd-Frank? Jason Ruspini: Unfortunately, election contracts and ALL event contracts appear to be prohibited by CFTC regulation 40.11, released in July 2011 as part of Dodd-Frank: “(a) Prohibition. A registered entity shall not list for trading … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged academia, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, Dodd-Frank, Economics, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, forecasting, Jason Ruspini, laws, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research | 1 Comment

Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]

Posted on February 2, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

Eric Zitzewitz: We are academic researchers who study prediction markets. We are writing in favor of allowing NADEX, or a similar entity, to offer a broad range of political and policy event futures, including the three they are currently proposing. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Regulations | Tagged academia, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, Economics, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, forecasting, laws, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research | Leave a comment

The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]

Posted on January 9, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

Emile Servan-Schreiber: – Over the long run and many predictions, markets outperform most individuals; – The more participants there are in a market, the more accurate it is (although there are diminishing returns); – The more participants there are in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, derivatives, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, futures, Lumenogic, NewsFutures, prediction markets | 1 Comment

Ex-HSX Max Keiser disses real-money prediction markets (again). — [VIDEO]

Posted on December 28, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged America, bets, Betting, betting markets, Cantor, Cantor Fitzgerald, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, futures, Gambling, gaming, HSX, laws, Meet Max Keiser, prediction markets, Regulations, United States Of America | Leave a comment

Legality of real-money prediction markets in America — [LINKS]

Posted on December 27, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

#1. CFTC’s Bart Chilton says ‘no’. – #2. DOJ says ‘yes’, other than for sports and horse racing.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged America, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, DOJ, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, futures, Gambling, gaming, laws, prediction markets, Regulations, United States Of America, US CFTC, US DOJ | 1 Comment

Gerald Celente got robbed of his gold. — [VIDEO]

Posted on December 19, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Business, Ethics, Finance | Tagged cash, commodities, derivative traders, derivatives, futures, Gerald Celente, gold, gold derivatives, gold futures, investing, investments, Jon Corzine, Max Keiser, metals, MF Global, Money, physical gold, precious metals | Leave a comment

SMARKETS: £50 million traded got them the attention of Wired UK magazine. — [SNAPSHOT + LINK]

Posted on November 22, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

£50 million traded. Wired UK (Hunter Morris and Jason Trost).

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship, Exchange Genesis, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Exchange, Exchange Liquidity, exchanges, Hunter Morris, Jason Trost, prediction markets, Smarkets | Leave a comment

Exchanges are looking to grow by sealing mergers, investing in more profitable businesses, and capturing segments of trading that have long remained out of their grasp, everything from exotic derivatives to bonds. — [LINK]

Posted on October 10, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

The Future of Exchanges Is Now.

Posted in Business, Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged Business, derivative exchanges, derivatives, exchanges, markets, transactions | Leave a comment

How prediction markets help forecast consumers’ behaviors — [REPORT]

Posted on August 10, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Forrester Research’s Roxana Strohmenger has been caught red hand sucking up to our Paul Hewitt. Roxana Strohmenger (e-mail me at chrisfmasse at gmail dot com to get a copy of the report): At the end of the day, a prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, forecasting efficiency, forecasting precision, information completeness, markets, precision, predicting, prediction efficiency, prediction markets, prediction precision | 2 Comments

Paul Hewitt on the usefulness of the prediction markets — [ANALYSIS]

Posted on August 2, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Paul Hewitt: I don’t think there is any question that the usefulness of prediction markets has been exaggerated. We don’t hear much from James Surowiecki anymore. So a few of those polled probably indicated that he doesn’t exaggerate the usefulness … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, derivatives, Economics, economics bloggers, economists, event derivative markets, event derivatives, James Surowiecki, Justin Wolfers, Kauffman Foundation, poll, polls, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, survey, surveys, usefulness, usefulness of prediction markets | Leave a comment

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