Tag Archives: Democratic

EXPIRATIONS: Puerto Rico, South Dakota, and Montana

Expired prediction markets InTrade – -

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Clueless Mike Smithson is betting that Barack Obama will take Hillary Clinton on the Democratic ticket.

Wouarf. He will lose his bet. -

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Barack Obama is the “presumptive” nominee of the Democratic party.

Cocky HubDub has just expired the contract. InTrade and BetFair did not. InTrade will expire the Democratic candidate contract when the Democratic party declares their nominee at their convention. BetFair does not state anything. Maybe they’re too shy to tell. … Continue reading

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Michael Moore tells the Democratic people to go Barack Obama in Pennsylvania (a two-tier state), but the polls and the prediction markets tell us that that won’t do the trick.

I don’t get to vote for President this primary season. I live in Michigan. The party leaders (both here and in D.C.) couldn’t get their act together, and thus our votes will not be counted. So, if you live in … Continue reading

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Mississippi Democratic Primary

[My original title stated that it is a caucus, but Wikipedia tells me it's a primary, actually.] – - – Sources: InTrade & BetFair

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Doing The Delegate/SuperDelegate Math.

New York Times – Talking Point Memo

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So no matter how you cut it, Obama will almost certainly end the primaries with a pledged-delegate lead, courtesy of all those landslides in February.

Jonathan Alter: “Hillary’s Math Problem – Forget tonight. She could win 16 straight and still lose.” UPDATE

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