Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: compound charts

The InTrade .NET charting system is a great improvement for prediction market journalism.

One word: FANTASTIC.
Much improved.

A prediction market blogger can hot-link to the advanced chart.
The advanced chart is the by-default chart —both prices and volumes are chartered. [Thin volumes don't appear, though.]
The advanced chart is of the right width —not too small, not too big.

What remains to be improved:

InTrade should publish chart widgets, so that the weblink [...]

What InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, Betdaq, NewsFutures, Inkling Markets, Reality Markets, and HubDub, should implement real quick.

Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets, with customizable [...]

The Most Important Thing That David Yu And John Delaney Should Ask Their Team To Implement

Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.
Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable [...]

FINALLY, THE PREDICTION MARKETS ARRIVE IN GREAT BRITAIN.

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The image above is static —it’s a screen shot of the chart widget, not the chart widget itself. (I haven’t had access to their code, see, so I am not able to embed it here for you.) To view their updated widget, right-click on the image above, and open the link into a new browser [...]

The brand-new HubDub chart widgets —which InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, Betdaq and NewsFutures could look into for ideas

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My questions got answered.

The little flaw in the “market widgets” has been corrected. (indeed, see below.)
The “news markers” will be reintroduced later. Great.
An example of a “prediction widget” is here.
Yes, the HubDub widgets go into feeds. Great.
Yes, the HubDub widgets are dynamic —they will update themselves each time a page loads.
Psstt… I bet people cannot [...]

Testing the new HubDub chart widgets

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what is this?

Who will the 2008 Democratic candidate for President be?
% chance over time

Barack Obama
Hillary Clinton
John Edwards
Someone else

Get this widget
Can you get it right? Make your prediction…

Hubdub – The News Prediction Game

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.hdwg div {color:inherit;font:inherit} [...]

Prediction Markets & Data Visualization

Spot that that guy didn’t say, “I monitor a prediction market“. He said, “I monitor a chart“.
InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, NewsFutures and HubDub have a huge work to do to improve their charts. In the future, they will output richer charts. Customizable, dynamic, compound charts, with news markers.
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BetFair inaugurates a Politics zone (with compound charts) that nobody (but their so-called usability experts) will be able to see.

The link to that Politics zone is well hidden deep into the BetFair system. Here’s the screen shot of a BetFair prediction market page.

The trader should first click on the “Rules” tab on a political market page (since the rules of an election market are obvious, it’s unlikely);
The trader who will not get that clicking [...]

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