Spot that that guy didn’-t say, “-I monitor a prediction market“-. He said, “-I monitor a chart“-.
InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, NewsFutures and HubDub have a huge work to do to improve their charts. In the future, they will output richer charts. Customizable, dynamic, compound charts, with news markers.
A 6-year-old report about how he enjoyed being invited at Robin Hanson’-s party —-boring like hell.
Makes me think that the field of prediction markets should research more on data visualization. Kids like great visuals. Boisterous blogging adults haven’-t computed that, yet. When’-s the last time you saw great visuals at Marginal Revolution or Overcoming Bias?
Think data visualization, folks.
Bo Cowgill reads some blogs on that topic, I believe. He could give us some good links, one day.
UPDATE: Mike Linksvayer’-s take on the Robin Hanson incident the Marginal Revolution post. (See also Mike’-s comment, below.)