Tag Archives: CNN

Bill O’Reilly interviews Lou Dobbs.

Posted in Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NASA says there is no truth to doomsday taking place in 2012.

Posted in Films - Movies, Science | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

HubDub on CNN — 30 seconds into

HubDub

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Could HubDub enhance CNN’s website?

- New York Times: Using page views as a metric, Nielsen ranked CNN.com as the No. 1 current events and global news Web site last year, with a monthly average of 1.7 billion — half a billion views more than … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

“Long after Intrade gave a 99% chance for an Obama victory, CNN announced him as the winner, predictably at 11pm EST on-the-dot.”

Because CNN wanted a 100% certainty, Jason. You are mixing up oranges and bananas, here.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Paul Kedrosky … sucks. — Plus, Jason Trost is bashing InTrade and BetFair in order to boost his startup, Smarkets.

I will soon publish a full post on the relative accuracy of the VP prediction markets (and whether the prediction markets are useful at all, taking into account the occasional upsets theorized by Koleman Strumpf) —tackling Paul Kedrosky, Felix Salmon, … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The John Edwards Non-Affair: How on Earth did they get this photo, what does this photo prove, and which prediction markets should we trade on to profit from this alledged scandal?

- – Will CNN report on the John Edwards/mistress/baby rumors? | Hubdub – Will a supposed affair between John Edwards and Rielle Hunter be confirmed? | Hubdub – UPDATE: The Charlotte Observer UPDATE: National Review UPDATE: Google’s cached webpages of … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Meet one of the few “notable exceptions” whom InTrade CEO John Delaney was talking about in his comment to the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets).

- – - Koleman Strumpf, one of the “notable exceptions”. Here’s his latest post on Midas Oracle (about Inkling Markets). Here’s his latest interview: CNN. – John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): Nearly … Continue reading

Posted in People | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: Prediction Markets for the 2008 US Electoral College

ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com). By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen. – - #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment