Tag Archives: Brian Shiau

Redesign of The Sim Exchange

Posted on January 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

More usable. The Sim Exchange Best wishes to Brian Shiau. -

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I’m a big believer in the market, that it is the best way of aggregating information. Due to the law of supply and demand and profit-seeking, it has a better idea of what a price should be than any other way of determining prices.

Posted on February 8, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Brian Shiau (of The Sim Exchange) interviewed by Reuters. Shiau hired an analyst, Jesse Divnich, to help interpret the exchange’s data and provide commentary. Jesse Divnich’s research reports I like that. I think it should be made a rule that … Continue reading →

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DON’T PANIC. WE ARE THE SIM EXCHANGE. EVERYTHING IS UNDER CONTROL. WE WILL SETTLE OUR EVENT FUTURES.

Posted on November 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Here is what might happen when you have an exclusive source of information for contract expiry: NPD’s data policy and what that means to you Posted by [The simExchange's] Brian Shiau at 2:20PM on November 6, 2007 We understand the … Continue reading →

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Prediction markets that try to forecast the QUALITY of upcoming products.

Posted on September 8, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s how it works. It’s simple. A Web-based service aggregates the “reviews from respected critics and publications for film, video/dvd, books, music, television and games.” This service computes “a weighted average of critic grades.” For instance, the last J.K. Rowling … Continue reading →

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The Sim Exchange is delisting some event derivatives to channel liquidity where it is needed.

Posted on August 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Sim Exchange is one of the few prediction exchanges that has an open dialog with its traders. The Sim Exchange: Where are the new stocks? Posted by Brian Shiau at 1:28PM on August 30, 2007 Many users have asked … Continue reading →

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Meet the reversing Brian Shiau of The Sim Exchange.

Posted on July 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Brian Shiau of The Sim Exchange

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Meet Brian Shiau of The Sim Exchange.

Posted on July 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Brian Shiau (with a blue tie) of The Sim Exchange

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LinkedIn Prediction Markets

Posted on June 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

It’d work like this: You’d have some prediction markets tracking the careers of some key individuals. The source for expiry would be that person’s profile at LinkedIn. Examples. #1. I’d be long on Mike Linksvayer. The guy’s smart. He’s VP … Continue reading →

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The Sim Exchange and Midas Oracle both made it in CNET News.

Posted on May 18, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

CNET News: [...] It turned out that Shiau’s predictions weren’t perfect–on average he was about 15 percent off on the sales of Nintendo’s DS and Wii, Sony’s PlayStation 3 and PlayStation Portable and Microsoft’s Xbox 360. But he also wasn’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Sim Exchange’s predictions more accurate than Lazard Capital Markets and Wedbush Morgan’s ones.

Posted on April 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Brian Shiau, on a Gaming publication: [...] Lazard Capital Markets analyst Colin Sebastian had predicted March sales in the US to be flat. On the other hand Michael Pachter [of Wedbush Morgan] was expecting growth, forecasting Wii sales at 400k, … Continue reading →

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