Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Category Archives: Humor

BREAKING NEWS: THE DARK AGE IS OFFICIALLY OVER.

How do I know that? Well, yesterday, the ultra Yahoo!-fanboy David “I like curry” Pennock has finally registered with Google Webmaster Tool (in addition to Yahoo! Site Explorer). So, yesterday, his Yahoo! fanaticism ended for ever, and we will all be better off, now. Thousand flowers may bloom…!!…

P.S.: Doctor Dave, the G guys have also [...]

Adam Siegel looks like Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

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Midas Oracle has a de facto monopoly on “collective forecasting”.

If you type “collective forecasting” in the 3 main search engines, Midas Oracle pops up as #1 in the results. Thanks to Emile of NewsFutures and Prof Robin for their devotion and plain hard work in pushing this industry keyword (and the underlying concept). It is all fair that Midas Oracle is reaping the benefits. [...]

The economics crisis is over when CEOs indulge in pantagruelic meals.

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ROBIN HANSON HAS RENOUNCED TO RULE THE UNIVERSE VIA PREDICTION MARKETS.

Robin Hanson:
I’m not proposing to implement futarchy full stop one day; I’m proposing to run a series of increasingly large trials. That would give you the data you want.
Wow, modesty and humility. Mark the day.

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Robin Hanson has bugged us over the last week-end to insist we should use the NewsFutures-coined term “collective forecasting”, and guess what I spot as a tagline on his blog.

Doc, eat your own dog food, will you.

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La patience a ses limites.

Robin Hanson to MoldBug:
Explain yourself clearly or shut up.

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Let’s create a prediction market…

… about whether Prof Panos will make a survey among the Amazon Turks about whether “forecasting” can encompass our information aggregation mechanisms that are driven by traders or else (as opposed to predictive modeling tools driven by experts).

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Chris Masse appears in a fly-by analogy.

Here:
http://www.haloscan.com/comments/caveatbettor/3098722113787876052/

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The horse that Steve Levitt predicted would finish last… actually *won* the Kentucky Derby.

Thankfully, no one pays attention.
I would like to read what Nate Silver thinks of horse racing forecasting.

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