Category Archives: Analysis (Market Calls)

Though not a legal, registered financial advisor, Justin Wolfers hands out financial ‘advice’ to anyone who is foolish enough to listen. — [SCREENSHOT]

More. – “A financial adviser or stock broker should be licensed to provide any consultation on investment in securities.” -

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Ex-HSX Max Keiser claims that InTrade’s Ron Paul prediction market is manipulated. — [VIDEO]

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, News, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Gold and Real Interest Rates

The impact of real rates on gold is becoming more widely appreciated, which in itself worries me. Part of the reason I like gold is that there is so much noise around it and few seem to understand what drives … Continue reading

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What Does Gold Hedge Against?

“Not inflation”, the gold critics will shout, in one of their go-to arguments. This is what we hear from CNBC’s Mark Haines at every possible chance: since 1980, gold has not kept up with the CPI and so shouldn’t be … Continue reading

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Buy the market when it does pull back.

Morgan Keenan’s Mike Gibbs on investing opportunities in the financial markets.

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Prediction markets VERSUS Prediction markets on prediction markets VERSUS Conditional prediction markets

Panos Ipeirotis: [...] If I interpret correctly what you suggest, this will be equivalent to a “prediction market on a prediction market”, aka “options on markets”: Guess where the price of a long term market will be at set points … Continue reading

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Ben Shannon on his misguided “SELL” stock market call delivered just before the stock market rally

Ben Shannon on his “SELL” market call Previously: Wiser Than The Stock Market — NOT UPDATE: Andrew Page + Henry Blodget

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Wiser Than The Stock Market — NOT

Ben Shannon (alias “Jesse Livermore”, who blogs at “Wiser Than The Crowd”) claims on his blog to have an uncanny ability at forecasting the future and profiting from it, whether it is speculating on InTrade’s prediction markets or on the … Continue reading

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2008 US electoral college: What I am betting on.

PollTrack: – I like the way they color this electoral college map —with 5 colors only (simplicity is good). It is very clear and usable, I believe. You can see 6 states in gray (“too close to call”). I am … Continue reading

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The definitive proof that HubDub is an indispensable prediction exchange. [*]

As I told you, I am blogging as often as possible on the other blog (Midas Oracle .COM) about the 2008 US presidential elections as seen thru the eyes of the prediction markets. As I wrote there this morning, I … Continue reading

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