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- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: July 2010
Europe-based bettors would do better without the gambling monopolies.
Right To Bet: RIGHT2BET has exclusively revealed that throughout the World Cup European state betting monopolies offered their customers, on average, 32% worse odds than those available with private betting companies. Monopoly customers wishing to back their home nation in … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Regulations
Tagged BetFair, Betting, Europe, European Union, Gambling, Regulations, Right2Bet
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Prediction Markets = Social Business Intelligence
Good article about CrowdCast.
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged betting markets, business intelligence, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, corporate forecasting, CrowdCast, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, prediction markets, social business intelligence
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Paul The Octopus can’t be a psychic –but his care taker could.
Right now, if you query Google for “Paul octopus psychic“, you get 3 million results. But that can’t be. Here’s why. To divine the future, Paul The Octopus should send an information backward in time within his own mind. That … Continue reading
Posted in Precognition
Tagged divination, information, Paul The Octopus, Precognition, psychic, retro-causality
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HuffPost on derivatives (and prediction markets)
How Brokers Became Bookies: The Insidious Transformation of Markets Into Casinos
Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, The Global Economy
Tagged derivatives, Finance, Financial Markets, Huffington Post, prediction markets
1 Comment
[I]f [Paul The Octopus] had started with a €10 stake and bet it on all his picks [via BetFair or else], he would have made about €14,000.
Dixit Mike Robb. – The Telegraph Here’s from Wikipedia:
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Betting, Prediction Post-Mortem
Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, forecasting, forecasts, Paul The Octopus, predicting, Predictions
6 Comments
Cantor Fitzgerald has laid off the entire staff of the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX).
Cantor Fitzgerald has laid off the entire staff of the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX). Via Max Keiser
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance
Tagged Cantor Fitzgerald, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX
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InTrade simulates event derivative trading on your iPhone.
Play-money prediction markets. For your 6 y/o.
Mark Davis [*] was not invited at the party celebrating the 10 years of BetFair.
My take: #1. BetFair is now a bureaucracy. #2. The top BetFair execs are a bunch of dicks. [*] As you all know, Mark Davis was BetFair’s spokesperson for the 10 years.