Monthly Archives: November 2009

Adam Lambert makes sense to me. He is a smart man.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Entertainment, Ethics, Politics, Psychology | Tagged | Leave a comment

Why David Pennock and Jed Christiansen should be thankful to Google

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Because Google Webmaster Central Tool helps webmasters determine whether their site(s) has/have been hacked. Awesome.

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Nate Silver: InTrade is dumb. We need serious exchanges for event derivatives.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Nate Silver: But Intrade, although it’s a product I greatly appreciate, has some problems when it comes to efficiently pricing futures. It’s hard to get money into the site. The exchange falls into a legal gray zone. Transaction fees are … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

How to use enterprise prediction markets to minimize risks when introducing new products

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

How to Use Collective Intelligence to Minimize Risks When Introducing New Products CrowdCast WebCast – (Tuesday, December 8, 2009): Does your company rely on new product introductions to drive growth? A single missed launch date for a new product can … Continue reading →

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BLACK FRIDAY IS FOR SUCKERS.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

DON’T BUY ANYTHING.

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Wednesday Addams teaches us the true meaning of Thanksgiving.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

“Thanksgiving”, as seen in one of the “Addams Family” movies (watch till the end):

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Eric Crampton sheeshes Paul Hewitt.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Crampton’s blog

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Robin, just because we don’t have another method of accurately predicting an outcome doesn’t mean we have to be so appreciative when a prediction market comes up with a forecast just before the outcome is revealed.

Posted on November 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- First missile —just an appetizer. – Second missile: A critical review of Robin Hanson’s paper, “A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy”.

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

16 Google Wave invites to hand out

Posted on November 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

E-mail me if you need one. Only to the long-term readers of Midas Oracle and the friends of the prediction markets —often, the same persons.

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We should not use prediction markets in the climate change problematic.

Posted on November 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Paul Hewitt: While it may be possible to operate public policy prediction markets for some issues, their use in the climate change or global warming debate is questionable. Not only can there be no guarantee of manipulation-free markets, we wouldn’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment