Monthly Archives: January, 2009

Robin Hanson is famous for everything but prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Posted in People | Tagged prediction markets, Robin Hanson

After months of strolling on Twitter

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets has finally stumbled on a solid prospect.
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Posted in Consulting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged Adam Siegel, inkling markets, Internet Marketing, marketing, prediction markets, prospects, Twitter

Robin Hanson escapes reality, enters the world of fiction.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Posted in Fiction | Tagged Fiction, Hollywood, movies, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, science fiction

BetFair – Live Chat Session – Tuesday, January 27th, 2009

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2009 — 1 Comment

BetFair – Live Chat Session – Tuesday, January 27th, 2009 – [This link is only available to the BetFair registered users, alas. In the future, BetFair should make the transcripts of all chat sessions available to the public at large, in my view.]

Here is a transcript, transmitted to me by Mike Robb of BetFair —many [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Betting, Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Market Makers (Human), Market Transaction Costs, Regulations | Tagged BetFair, BetFair Chat, BetFair Forum, BetFair Premium Charge, Betting, betting exchanges, betting markets, bookmakers, corruptions, Gambling Commission, horseracing, laws, Live Chat Sessions, manipulations, Mark Davies, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Premium Charge, Regulations, sportsbooks, Tony Clare, trading

Joseph Stiglitz on Manipulation & Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

The Oracle with Max Keiser – BBC World News – 30 January 2009
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Posted in Entertainment, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, History, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, The Global Economy | Tagged BBC, BBC World, BBC World News, HubDub, manipulation, Max Keiser, prediction markets, The Oracle

Australian Knowledge eXchange

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Australian Knowledge eXchange
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Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Australian Knowledge eXchange, prediction markets

Accuracy —not. — REDUX

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

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Previously
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Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged accuracy, Collective Intelligence, efficiency, prediction markets, wisdom of crowds

Interesting analysis from Niall O’Connor

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

About BetFair USA buying out TV Games Network.
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Posted in Analysis (Industry) | Tagged BetFair, BetFair USA, prediction markets, TV Games Network

Accuracy —not.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Yahoo! Research’s challenges:
Wisdom of crowds
How can prediction markets and other group tools help us improve predictions and decisions by harnessing a diverse user base? How can we design markets to maximize forecast accuracy?
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Besides diversity, incentivization is also a crucial issue.
David Pennock didn’t get my memo on investigating efficiency over accuracy, I see.

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Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged accuracy, Collective Intelligence, efficiency, prediction markets, wisdom of crowds

Prove that you are a better Internet innovator than David Pennock, and get $5,000 in cash.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 30, 2009 — Leave a Comment

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Via Him
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Posted in Inventions & Innovations, The Internet | Tagged innovations, inventions, The Internet, Yahoo!, Yahoo! Key Scientific Challenges, Yahoo! Research