Monthly Archives: August 2007

PrediMark for Prediction Markets

PrediMark (Bergen, Norway): Predimarks visjon er Ã¥ forenkle beslutningsprosessen i bedrifter. Predimark tilrettelegger for oppretting av prediksjonsmarkeder i norske bedrifter. Prediksjonsmarkeder er planleggingsverktøy som hjelper ledere til Ã¥ ta riktigere strategiske beslutninger for bedriften. Vi leverer ogsÃ¥ underholdningsspill som baserer … Continue reading

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Forecasting Tools for Anything

Via economist Greg Mankiw, economist Ian Ayres: Featured In Super Crunchers: Predict Your Child’s Due Date (Ayres) Predict the Value of Bordeaux (Ayres) Predict Justice Kennedy’s Vote (Ayres) Personal/Family: Predict How Long You’ll Live (Northwest Mutual) Predict Your Child’s Due … Continue reading

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PopSci PPX plagued by manipulators — REDUX

PopSci PPX: [...] To maintain the integrity of that information, and to keep the game fun for the thousands of people who have become PPX members, we’ve tightened up the rules to put the emphasis on individual, human decision-making. Operating … Continue reading

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Spectrum has a long article on prediction markets.

Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Steven Cherry In August 2004, Todd Proebsting, a researcher in Microsoft’s platform and services division, was approached by a manager in the company’s … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

The BetFair Galaxy

BetFair – (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Alternate URLs: BetFair.co.uk & Flutter.com — Described as “the eBay of peer-to-peer betting”. — BetFair is a prediction exchange that does not prominently display the last price. Instead, the “Express View” gives the best offer (i.e., ask … Continue reading

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BetFair adopts Google Calendar.

Interesting. Before my browser (Mozilla FireFox) loaded fully, it asked me permission to download the latest version of the BetFair add-on, and one novelty I spotted immediately was a new icon in the BetFair toolbar featuring an “Event Alert – … Continue reading

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BetBrokers stock sliding at the London Stock Exchange

Opened at £16.50 on November 1st, 2006. £4.62 this afternoon. = -72% since flotation, if I can compute. Our Deep Throat was probably right to be skeptical of their business model —we upset them at the time, of course.

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Vice President Dick Cheney’s financial advisers are apparently betting on a rise in inflation and interest rates and on a decline in the value of the dollar against foreign currencies.

Via Max Keiser (the co-founder of HSX), MSN Money, which investigated the issue.

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Midas Oracle, our group blog on prediction markets, is COLORFUL.

el Monasterio de S. Juan de la Cruz by Esteban de Sousa

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The Sim Exchange is delisting some event derivatives to channel liquidity where it is needed.

The Sim Exchange is one of the few prediction exchanges that has an open dialog with its traders. The Sim Exchange: Where are the new stocks? Posted by Brian Shiau at 1:28PM on August 30, 2007 Many users have asked … Continue reading

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