Monthly Archives: November, 2006
How to Define EU Failure for Betting Purposes?
Scenarios for possible breakup of the European Union have been a lively discussion topic for years. So far the EU is holding together but the possibility of some kind of radical restructuring is always in the background. With the help of a couple of people who may wish to join this conversation, I hope to [...]
Macro Shares: Prediction Markets via Stock Exchanges?
Peter McCluskey at Overcoming Bias dot com:
Today the American Stock Exchange started trading the first pair of a new kind of security that works in roughly the way prediction markets could be designed if SEC regulation and a stock market style user interface turn out to be the best way to run prediction markets. They [...]
The Consensus of Economists on… Prediction Markets???
Would economists agree that the U.S. should legalize real-money prediction exchanges (BetFair, Tradeports)?
Recession Contract Proposal
A few days ago, I came across Chris’s question concerning recession prediction:
My Question: How would you structure a US recession prediction market? (…without splitting liquidity, I mean.)
My initial response to this was:
A recession is defined as two consecutive declines in real GDP. Why not create a series of contracts, as follows:
US.RECESSION.4Q06.1Q07
US.RECESSION.1Q07.2Q07
US.RECESSION.2Q07.3Q07
…
Here are some more [...]
JC Kommer is bullish on BATS (Better Alternative Trading Systems)
JC Kommer is bullish on this trading information software, BATS:
What the thing does is that it gives you the top volume stock on NASDAQ in real time. You can enter any symbol for a NASDAQ stock and get the “book” pretty much instantly.
GOOG is the symbol for Google
INTC for Intel
Information technology tools for bloggers and webmasters
Would you please be so kind as to review this list of information technology links and suggest to moi some missing stuff? Thanks. Appreciated. Will make up to you.
Information Technology Toolbox — Updated: 2006-11-30
1. Web-Based Tools
2. Webmaster Tools
3. Information Technology Tools
4. Internet Usability
5. Word Press Resources
6. Site Feed Resources
7. Miscellaneous Web-Based Tools
8. Information Technology Explainers
9. [...]
HedgeStreet Implements Lightstreamer AJAX Technology.
Straight from the spin doctor:
Lightstreamer announced that HedgeStreet.com, the USA’s first government-regulated person to person online futures trading market for binary and futures contracts, has implemented web based real-time streaming prices with Lightstreamer. This streaming Ajax solution from Lightstreamer allows HedgeStreet customers to access live HedgeStreet prices via the Internet and trade from anywhere with [...]
confab.yahoo on prediction markets: ON THE WEB – Dec 13, 2006 – 5:30pm
I am now registered on the “Watching” list of the prediction market event announced yesterday by our good Doctor David Pennock. (By the way, I saw that this Greek usual suspect will make the trip.)
I made the online registration thru UPCOMING dot com (a Yahoo! company, it says), but I was unable to find out [...]
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