Tag Archives: Virginia

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets. – The Forrester executive summary: The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, … Continue reading

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Spikes

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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

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Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Consultants – - Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) Adam Siegel — Post Archives at Midas Oracle Nathan Kontny – NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.) Emile Servan-Schreiber — Post Archives at Midas Oracle Maurice … Continue reading

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Unlike polls, prediction markets give incentives to think carefully.

Via Wall Street investor and blogger Barry Ritholtz, the Wall Street Journal: [...] Since the election season began, investors on Intrade have risked $4.6 million in trades on Sen. Clinton and $3.4 million on Sen. Obama. [...] Robin Hanson, an … Continue reading

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Finally, someone tells the libertarian truth on the US ban against Internet betting and gambling.

Reason Magazine blog (who else?): It’s too bad Europe, Japan, and Canada caved. Here’s hoping little Antigua stays plucky. A few observations: First, and most obviously, the U.S. government is so hellbent on policing the online habits of its citizens, … Continue reading

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Yes, Virginia, BetFair does organize socially valuable prediction markets in UK politics.

Mike Smithson’s effort is paying off. Here are the BetFair political prediction markets: Cabinet Exit Dates Chancellor Foreign Secretary Home Secretary Cabinet Specials Next Chancellor Next Foreign Secretary Next Home Secretary Next Prime Minister Leader Exit Dates David Cameron Gordon … Continue reading

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Yes Virginia, Wikipedia is a warzone of vested interests.

Wiki Scanner: Search the Wikipedia edits to spot the organizations that edited it. It would be interesting to investigate who edited the Wikipedia pages on prediction markets and betting exchanges. (At the time of writing, Wiki Scanner was out of … Continue reading

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Were the InTrade prediction markets on the November 2006′s Senate elections accurate?

Revisiting the issue, almost one year later. Lance Fortnow (University of Chicago) wrote: So how did those predictions go? In short you can say the markets predicted every individual race correctly but got the senate wrong, but let us look … Continue reading

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