Tag Archives: The Wisdom Of Crowds

Peter Thiel: The wisdom of crowds has been very overated. If you’re libertarian, you should be skeptical of the wisdom of crowds. – [SHOTGUN ANALYSIS]

Posted on February 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

0:47:15 into the video I posted 5 minutes ago.

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged Collective Intelligence, Peter Thiel, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

The miracle of information aggregation and prediction accuracy

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Philip Tetlock interviewed (last year): IDEAS: Any individual expert is likely to be wrong. What happens when you put a bunch of them in the same room? Does the consensus come up with a better prediction than the individual? TETLOCK: … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Psychology, Resources - References | Tagged accuracy, Collective Intelligence, Expert Political Judgment, experts, forecasters, Forecasting (Science & Practice), foxes, hedgehogs, information aggregation, Philip Tetlock, predicting, prediction accuracy, prediction markets, Predictions, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

Wisdom of Crowds… or… Folly of Crowds…?…

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via Niall O’Connor of Betting Market, James Surowiecki: So if the folly of crowds got us here, is there any hope for using the wisdom of crowds to get us out? I’m hesitant to offer any forecast that would be … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, The Global Economy | Tagged Collective Intelligence, crisis, Folly of Crowds, James Surowiecki, markets, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

How the bandwagon wrecked the wisdom of market crowds

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Niall O'Connor

In a desperate attempt to save his theory of the “wisdom of crowds” – the bedrock of the prediction markets, Surowiecki does the previously unthinkable and refers to “the folly of crowds.” (a phrase I myself have used in the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged Collective Intelligence, crisis, Folly of Crowds, James Surowiecki, markets, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

Michael Weiss of Gawker is misinformed about the wisdom of crowds.

Posted on July 22, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

His Jason Calacanis-inspired critique of The Wisdom Of Crowds is an abyssal nullity. James Surowiecki is a great thinker, and the principles behind the wisdom of crowds are effective. (see point #3.) -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged Collective Intelligence, Gawker, James Surowiecki, Jason Calacanis, Michael Weiss, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

James Surowiecki, author of The Wisdom of Crowds, sums up his book.

Posted on July 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Video #1 – Video #2 -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged author, Collective Intelligence, James Surowiecki, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

James Surowiecki, author of The Wisdom of Crowds, talks to the Midas Oracle readers.

Posted on July 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

James Surowiecki – Short video -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged author, Collective Intelligence, James Surowiecki, The Wisdom Of Crowds, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

ABC 20/20 — A good (but servile) explainer on the wisdom of crowds and the prediction markets

Posted on May 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

ABC 20/20 featuring InTrade – (May 9, 2008) Foretelling The Future: Online Prediction Markets — (4 pages in all) ABC video YouTube video – Not a single word about InTrade-TradeSports fucking up its traders during the North Korea Missile episode. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged ABC, ABC 20/20, analyst, betting markets, Collective Intelligence, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, InTrade, James Surowiecki, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, online prediction markets, prediction exchange, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, The Wisdom Of Crowds, ultimate leader, wisdom of crowds, YouTube | 1 Comment

McKinsey: The Promise Of Enterprise Prediction Markets

Posted on April 15, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

McKinsey: The Promise Of Prediction Markets With Bo Cowgill (Google) and James Surowiecki (The Wisdom Of Crowds). Registration needed. This is the transcript of the roundtable of the recent McKinsey conference at Dubai, United Arab Emirates. I’ll excerpt this document, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Best Buy, Bo Cowgill, corporate prediction markets, Dubai, Enterprise Prediction, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, James Surowiecki, McKinsey, prediction markets, private prediction markets, The Wisdom Of Crowds, United Arab Emirates | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: The Wisdom Of Crowds

Meta

Recent Posts