Tag Archives: the Washington Post

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

Prediction markets = “the future of journalism” —said, from day one, Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures. Emile, if you have balls, let’s do it —all together.

Posted on May 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

My yesterday’s post about the Obama–Clinton prediction markets was the most popular Midas Oracle story of that Monday. Hummmm… No idea why… I was not helped by Google Search or by an external blogger. Sounds like our Midas Oracle web … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Midas Oracle Project, Prediction Journalism | Tagged Chris Masse, Christmas, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, franc, Google, Journalism, Justin Wolfers, Midas Oracle Project, News Of The World, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, professional blog networks, Robin Hanson, the Washington Post, Web readers | 10 Comments

BetFair and InTrade (the so-called leaders in the field of prediction markets) haven’t had the first clue about prediction market journalism.

Posted on April 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

SCOOP: We have identified the bozo who edits BOTH the BetFair blog AND the InTrade bulletin. IT’S A FUCKING MONKEY. – WEB EXCLUSIVE — PLEASE, DO CREDIT MIDAS ORACLE FOR THE SCOOP. THIS IS NOT AN APRIL FOOL‘S DAY JOKE. … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged April Fool's Day, BetFair, BetFair blog, charts, Editor, Google, Humor, InTrade, InTrade bulletin, Max Keiser, News Of The World, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, President, the Washington Post, United States, web publishing, web servers | 1 Comment

Meet Michael Arrington of TechCrunch.

Posted on February 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Lloyd Grove: I ran into Nick Denton [the owner of Gawker Media, parent company of the Silicon Valley blog ValleyWag.com] last night. What do you think of him? Michael Arrington: I think he’s a total dick. Lloyd Grove: Would you … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Prediction Journalism | Tagged Adobe, Gawker Media, Kindle, Lloyd Grove, Michael Arrington, Microsoft, Mike Arrington, New York, New York Daily News, Tech Crunch, TechCrunch, the New York Daily News, the Washington Post, USD | Leave a comment

Justin Wolfers Country has turned Left… as predicted by the prediction markets.

Posted on November 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Washington Post on Australia‘s November 2007 political elections. The prediction market charts below were taken a bit before the close of the Australian polling stations, last Saturday. BetFair (on Australia’s Labor Party, which ended winning): BetFair had a complete … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Australia, Justin Wolfers, Labour Party, political elections, prediction markets, the Washington Post | Leave a comment

BRITISH BETTING EXCHANGE BETFAIR USED FOR MONEY LAUNDERING BY RADICAL ISLAMIC CYBER-CRIMINALS WHO PREPARED THE GROUNDWORK FOR ANTI-WESTERN TERRORISTS.

Posted on July 10, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via the vigilant Niall O’Connor of Betting Market, the Washington Post: Three Worked the Web to Help Terrorists British Case Reveals How Stolen Credit Card Data Bought Supplies for Operatives [...] Al-Daour also allegedly laundered money through online gambling sites, … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Tagged Case Reveals How Stolen Credit Card Data, detective, European Union, investigator, London, Mark Davies, Metropolitan Police, Niall O'Connor, online bank, online bank accounts, online gambling sites, online wagering sites, recent media articles, Serious & Economic Crime Directorate, the Washington Post, United States, USD, Waseem Mughal, Younis Tsouli | Leave a comment

The situation has gotten so strange that even obvious spoofs sound plausible.

Posted on May 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

… writes the Washington Post about the fake Wolfowitz memo. — Previous: Does Paul Wolfowitz have a future at the World Bank? + FAKE WORLD BANK MEMO: Harvard professor of economics Kenneth Rogoff laughs in Paul Wolfowitzâ€™s face. + INSIDER … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Harvard, insider trading, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Kenneth Rogoff, LE MONDE, Paul Wolfowitz, professor of economics, professor of economics Kenneth Rogoff, the Washington Post, WORLD BANK MEMO | Leave a comment

Political Factor Analysis

Posted on November 13, 2006 by Jason Ruspini

David Pennock, Lance Fortnow and others on Marginal Revolution and DailyKos explain the “failure” of prediction markets for Senate control as stemming from the assumption that state-level elections are independent events, an assumption that ignores national movements in sentiment. Is … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta) | Tagged Columbus, David Pennock, Lance Fortnow, legislator, Republican candidate, Seattle, Senate, the Washington Post | Leave a comment

BetFair: “Which of these parties will have more seats in the US Senate following the 2006 US Senate Elections?”

Posted on November 8, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Republicans: 49% Democrats: 53.8% Ex-BBC News Mike Smithson (of the Political Betting blog) wonders whether BetFair will count the two Independent U.S. Senators (Liberman and Sanders) in the Democratic camp. Lieberman won re-election as the â€œConnecticut For Liebermanâ€ party candidate … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged BBC, Congress, Connecticut, Editor, Mike Smithson, MP, Ned Lamont, Nick Palmer, party candidate, Senate, the New York Times, the Washington Post, United States Senate, Upper House, Vermont, Virginia, Yahoo! | Leave a comment

US-based prediction market blog SmartCrowd won’t link to TradeSports/InTrade anymore, now that US president signed Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act.

Posted on October 16, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s the announcement: We paused recently to review the impact of the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act (attached to the unrelated Port Security Bill), that became law on 13th October, 2006. Here’s how the Washington Post reported it []. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Regulations | Tagged bill/law, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, President, reading, the Washington Post, United States | Leave a comment

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