Tag Archives: The Netherlands

How some US-based university professors endorsed a Holland-based consultancy firm

Here is the e-mail that was sent to the prediction market scholars listed on Midas Oracle.: Dear Mr. [PROFESSOR'S NAME GOES HERE], I am writing on behalf of [PREDICTION MARKET SOFTWARE VENDOR'S NAME], a Netherlands based consulting firm, because our … Continue reading

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BetFair is at war with the Dutch government.

BetFair versus Holland (The Netherlands).

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How that prediction market consultant in Holland attracts economic advisers on the cheap

Dear Mr. [PROFESSOR'S NAME GOES HERE], I am writing on behalf of [PREDICTION MARKET SOFTWARE VENDOR'S NAME], a Netherlands based consulting firm, because our research has identified you as a scholar with some expertise in Prediction Markets or a related … Continue reading

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NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

NewsFutures: Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd 1.) Integrated Solutions We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization … Continue reading

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The prediction markets reflect the polls and the national media.

Jason Ruspini: In general, futures markets are “less futures markets than immediate-past markets”. It is hard to evaluate the markets fairly given how difficult it is for someone in New Hampshire to participate in them. Naturally then, the [prediction] markets … Continue reading

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Prediction markets are forecasting tools of convenience that feed on advanced indicators.

Why were the political prediction markets so wrong about Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire? …asks Slate’s Daniel Gross —via Mister Usability (Alex Kirtland), who needs to go and get his own gravatar. So, I’ve been watching the … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Justin Wolfers dreams of a prediction market land, where exchange odds are cited but not the polls.

Knowledge @ Wharton (on polls): The Power of Prediction Markets The rapidly changing landscape of responders and related technology factors are two reasons why Justin Wolfers, Wharton professor of business and public policy, believes in the power of prediction, or … Continue reading

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Is WeatherBill doing well, really??

WeatherBill does so well that TechCrunch has just published two –yes, two– blog posts on it, today (Wednesday, October 17, 2007). Here’s the first one, which basically says that two VCs have just poured $12,5 million dollars in it. Good … Continue reading

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Dead or Almost Dead

— Dead: CME Economic Derivatives — Auction format Economic Derivatives – (U.S.A.) — CME + ICAP + Longitude (previously with Goldman Sachs) — These financial instruments are traded through a Universal Dutch Auction format —an automated parimutuel technique. — OTC … Continue reading

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Chris Masse is bull-shitting. On the paper, NewsFutures is OBVIOUSLY the market leader.

That’s what all the people thought, after I published my ranking. The NewsFutures clients: The world’s largest steel maker. CORNING Display Technologies. Japan’s largest advertising firm. Hungary’s leading news weekly. Voted “most innovative” pharmaceutical company in Fortune‘s 2003 and 2004 … Continue reading

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