Tag Archives: the future

The future will be a total disaster, with a collapse of our capitalistic system as we know it today, wars, massive government debt defaults and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society.

Posted on September 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

“The future will be a total disaster, with a collapse of our capitalistic system as we know it today, wars, massive government debt defaults and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society.” Download this post to watch the Marc … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Predictions - Forecasts, The Global Economy | Tagged disasters, econonomic crisis, End Of The World As We Know It, Finance, forecasting, future, global economy, Marc Faber, the future, US economy | Leave a comment

Unlike Ben Shannon, InTrade is positive on the future of the US economy.

Posted on August 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Previously: Wiser Than The Stock Market — NOT + Ben Shannon on his misguided “SELL” stock market call delivered just before the stock market rally

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, The Global Economy | Tagged Ben Shannon, economic growth, forecasting, forecasting the future, GDP, growth, Jesse Livermore, the future, US economy, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Ben Shannon on his misguided “SELL” stock market call delivered just before the stock market rally

Posted on August 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Ben Shannon on his “SELL” market call Previously: Wiser Than The Stock Market — NOT UPDATE: Andrew Page + Henry Blodget

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged Ben Shannon, Finance, Financial Markets, forecasting, forecasting the future, Jesse Livermore, S&P 500, speculating, stock market, stock markets, stocks, the future, Wiser Than The Crowd | 2 Comments

Wiser Than The Stock Market — NOT

Posted on July 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Ben Shannon (alias “Jesse Livermore”, who blogs at “Wiser Than The Crowd”) claims on his blog to have an uncanny ability at forecasting the future and profiting from it, whether it is speculating on InTrade’s prediction markets or on the … Continue reading →

Prediction markets won’t reverse the arrow of time —they won’t tell us the future.

Posted on February 16, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Forecasting (Science & Practice), omniscience, prediction markets, the future, The Truth About Prediction Markets | Leave a comment

Prediction Market Definition —updated

Posted on October 4, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Definition – A prediction market is a market for a contract that yields payments based on the outcome of a partially uncertain future event, such as an election. A contract pays $100 only if candidate X wins the election, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged accuracy, betting markets, definitions, event derivative, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), forecasting mechanisms, future events, Information Aggregation, information value, objective probabilistic predictions, prediction accuracy, prediction market, prediction market definition, prediction market explainer, prediction markets, Predictions, probabilistic predictions, Robin Hanson, the future | 1 Comment