Tag Archives: subsidized prediction markets

What Jean-Claude Kommer (a patented prediction market gadfly) thinks of Robin Hanson’s conditional prediction markets subsidized by Peter McCluskey

Posted on August 5, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Jean-Claude Kommer, Peter McCluskey, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, subsidized conditional prediction markets, subsidized prediction markets | Leave a comment

Subsidizing real-money prediction markets and real-money conditional prediction markets

Posted on August 5, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Should Google subsidize the Lunar X Prize contract on InTrade? John Salvatier, Our good friend Bo Cowgill might have already re-created those prediction markets on Google’s internal prediction exchange at a marginal cost of zero US dollar. No need for … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Philanthropy | Tagged Bo Cowgill, conditional prediction markets, decision-aid markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, John Salvatier, malaria, Mike Linksvayer, news media outlet, Peter McCluskey, Philanthropy, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Robin Hanson, subsidized conditional prediction markets, subsidized prediction markets | 2 Comments

Prediction markets can be directly subsidized with a market maker, allowing all traders who provide info to improve the price to expect to profit. Also, the more fools the more informed traders should be attracted to profit from them, so the mix is endogenous.

Posted on April 23, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson in a comment, over there. See also that question for Mike “Barbecue” Giberson. -

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Market Makers (Automated) | Tagged automated market makers, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Mike "Barbecue" Giberson, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, subsidized prediction markets | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: subsidized prediction markets

What Jean-Claude Kommer (a patented prediction market gadfly) thinks of Robin Hanson’s conditional prediction markets subsidized by Peter McCluskey

Subsidizing real-money prediction markets and real-money conditional prediction markets

Prediction markets can be directly subsidized with a market maker, allowing all traders who provide info to improve the price to expect to profit. Also, the more fools the more informed traders should be attracted to profit from them, so the mix is endogenous.

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